Kings vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 27, 2023
Odds are against the Minnesota Timberwolves (38-37), who are a 7-point underdog when they hit the court against the Sacramento Kings (45-29) on March 27, 2023. The game’s over/under is 238.5.
Kings vs. Timberwolves Odds
- Kings odds to win: -272
- Timberwolves odds to win: +221
- Spread: Kings (-7)
- Total: 238.5
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Game Time and Information
- When: Monday, March 27, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
- Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
- TV: NBCS-CA and BSNX
Who Will Win Kings vs. Timberwolves?
Kings and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Kings are 7-8 against the spread when favored by 7 points or more this season.
In games they have played as at least 7-point underdogs this season, the Timberwolves are 2-5 against the spread.
The Kings and the Timberwolves combine to average 1.6 fewer points per game than the over/under of 238.5 set for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 234.6 points per game, 3.9 fewer than the point total in this game.
The average point total for Kings games this season is 1.1 more points than the total of 238.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for Minnesota this season is 6.6 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Sacramento is 41-32-1 against the spread this season.
So far this year, the Timberwolves have put together a 35-38-2 record against the spread.
Kings Stats & Insights
The Kings average 121.1 points per game (first in the league) while allowing 118.5 per outing (26th in the NBA). They have a +187 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 2.6 points per game.
The 42.2 rebounds per game the Kings average rank 22nd in the NBA. Their opponents grab 42.1 per contest.
Sacramento connects on 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) while shooting 37.4% from deep (eighth-best in the NBA). It is making 1.3 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 12.5 per game while shooting 37.2%.
The Kings’ 117.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank second in the NBA, and the 114.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 23rd in the league.
The Kings have been significantly better offensively at home, where they average 124 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 118 per game. Defensively, they are worse when playing at home, where they give up 119.6 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 117.4 per game.
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves score 115.8 points per game (11th in NBA) and give up 116.1 (18th in league) for a -16 scoring differential overall.
Minnesota averages 41.7 rebounds per game (23rd in league) while allowing 44.6 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.9 boards per game.
The Timberwolves knock down 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), while their opponents have made 12.7 on average.
The Timberwolves put up 111.2 points per 100 possessions (22nd in league), while giving up 111.2 points per 100 possessions (11th in NBA).
At home Minnesota is scoring 116.4 points per game, 1.2 more than it is averaging on the road (115.2).
Kings Key Players to Watch
The Kings get 19.1 points, 12.5 rebounds and 7.3 assists from Domantas Sabonis.
This season, De’Aaron Fox is averaging 25.3 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.
Kevin Huerter leads active Kings in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Fox averages 1.2 steals per game, while Keegan Murray has 0.5 blocks per contest.
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards pours in 24.6 points per game. He also contributes 5.8 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game this season.
This season, Rudy Gobert has a statline of 13.8 points, 1.1 assists and 11.6 rebounds per game.
Edwards cashes in on 2.7 treys per game.
The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts get a lift from Edwards (1.6 steals per game) and Gobert (1.4 blocks per game).
Kings vs. Timberwolves Prediction
- Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 7)
- Pick OU:
Under (238.5)
- Prediction:
Kings 121 – Timberwolves 115
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