Raptors vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Pascal Siakam and the Toronto Raptors (37-38) will look to fend off Bam Adebayo’s Miami Heat (40-35) on March 28, 2023. The Raptors are a 5.5-point favorite. A 219-point total is set for the game.

Raptors vs. Heat Odds

• Raptors odds to win: -208
• Heat odds to win: +173
• Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
• Total: 219

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Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
• TV: TNT and TSN

Who Will Win Raptors vs. Heat?

Raptors and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 5.5 points or more, the Raptors have a 10-12-1 record against the spread.

The Heat have a 4-4 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 5.5 points or more this season.

The Raptors and Heat average 3.1 more points between them than the total of 219 for this matchup.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 221.8 points per game, 2.8 more than the point total in this game.

The Raptors’ average point total in outings this year is 224.9, 5.9 points higher than the over/under in this game.

The average total for Miami’s games this year is 0.1 more points than the point total of 219 in this outing.

Toronto is 37-36-2 ATS this season.

The Heat have gone 27-44-4 ATS this year.

Raptors Stats & Insights

The Raptors are outscoring opponents by 1.1 points per game with a +81 scoring differential overall. They put up 113 points per game (21st in the NBA) and allow 111.9 per outing (fifth in the league).

The Raptors rank 17th in the league at 43.1 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.3 their opponents average.

Toronto knocks down 10.9 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) while shooting 33.9% from beyond the arc (28th in the NBA). It is making 1.3 fewer threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 12.2 per game while shooting 37.6%.

The Raptors record 112 points per 100 possessions (17th in the league), while allowing 111.7 points per 100 possessions (14th in the NBA).

So far in 2022-23, the Raptors’ offense has been better at home, where they average 114.4 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 111.4 per game. Defensively, they have been tougher at home, where they allow 110.3 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to score 113.6 per game.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat put up 109.1 points per game (30th in league) while allowing 109.9 per contest (second in NBA). They have a -58 scoring differential.

Miami comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. It pulls down 40.7 rebounds per game (27th in league) compared to its opponents’ 42.

The Heat make 11.7 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 34.1% rate (27th in NBA), compared to the 13.3 per contest their opponents make, shooting 37.1% from beyond the arc.

The Heat’s 109.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 25th in the NBA, and the 110.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank ninth in the league.

Miami averages 110.7 points per game at home, and 107.5 on the road.

Raptors Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Raptors this season is Siakam (among active players), who averages 24.2 points, 7.8 rebounds, and six assists per game.

Fred VanVleet is averaging 19.8 points, seven assists and 4.2 rebounds a game, while Jakob Poeltl adds 12.9 points, 2.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds per matchup.

VanVleet leads active Raptors in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.

OG Anunoby averages 1.9 steals per game, while Poeltl swats 1.2 shots per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Adebayo has been among the team’s best in both scoring (20.9 points per game) and rebounding (9.3 rebounds per game) while adding 3.3 assists per contest.

The Heat have gotten 20.3 points, 4.3 assists and 5.6 rebounds out of Tyler Herro this season.

Herro averages three made threes per game.

The Heat’s defensive efforts get a lift from Adebayo (1.2 steals and 0.9 blocks per game).

Raptors vs. Heat Prediction

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (219)
  

• Prediction:
  Raptors 113 – Heat 109

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