Thunder vs. Hornets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Oklahoma City is a 9-point favorite against Charlotte when the Josh Giddey-led Thunder (37-38) and P.J. Washington’s Hornets (25-51) meet on March 28, 2023. The game features a point total of 227.

Thunder vs. Hornets Odds

• Thunder odds to win: -392
• Hornets odds to win: +307
• Spread: Thunder (-9)
• Total: 227

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Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: BSOK and BSSE

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Hornets?

Thunder and Hornets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Thunder are 2-1 against the spread when favored by 9 points or more this season.

The Hornets have a 12-8-1 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 9 points or more.

Between them, these two teams average 1.5 more points per game (228.5) than this game’s total (227).

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.3 more points per game (233.3) than this matchup’s total of 227 points.

The average point total for Thunder games this year is 6.6 more points than the over/under of 227 in this matchup.

The average point total for Charlotte this year is 1.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Oklahoma City is 45-29-1 ATS this season.

The Hornets have gone 33-40-3 ATS this year.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder average 117.4 points per game (fifth in the league) while giving up 116.2 per contest (19th in the NBA). They have a +85 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 1.2 points per game.

The Thunder fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.9 boards. They are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game (13th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 46.6 per contest.

Oklahoma City knocks down 12.3 three-pointers per game (13th in the league), while its opponents have made 13 on average.

The Thunder’s 112.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 15th in the NBA, and the 111.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 10th in the league.

So far in 2022-23, the Thunder’s offense has been much better at home, where they average 121.1 points per game, compared to on the road, where they average 113.8 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been tougher at home, where they concede 115.4 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to score 117.1 per game.

Hornets Stats & Insights

The Hornets have a -453 scoring differential, falling short by six points per game. They’re putting up 111.1 points per game, 27th in the league, and are giving up 117.1 per outing to rank 22nd in the NBA.

Charlotte ranks eighth in the league at 44.6 rebounds per game. That’s 1.8 fewer than the 46.4 its opponents average.

The Hornets knock down 10.6 three-pointers per game (27th in the league), 1.8 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc (29th in NBA) and opponents are shooting 35.7%.

The Hornets rank 26th in the league averaging 109.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 21st, allowing 113.7 points per 100 possessions.

At home Charlotte is scoring 110 points per game, 2.2 fewer points than it is averaging on the road (112.2).

Thunder Key Players to Watch

The Thunder get 16.3 points, 7.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists from Giddey.

Isaiah Joe leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Jalen Williams averages 1.3 steals per game, while Aleksej Pokusevski swats 1.3 shots per contest.

Hornets Key Players to Watch

Washington tallies 15.4 points per game. He also contributes 4.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game this season.

Nick Richards has per-game averages of eight points, 0.6 assists and 6.3 rebounds this season.

LaMelo Ball makes four treys per game.

The Hornets’ defensive effort gets a boost from Dennis Smith Jr. (1.4 steals per game) and Washington (1.1 blocks per game).

Thunder vs. Hornets Prediction

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 9)
• Pick OU:

  Over (227)
  

• Prediction:
  Thunder 121 – Hornets 110

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