76ers vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 29, 2023

March 28, 2023, by Luis Escalante NBA Predictions

Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers (49-26) enter their matchup against the Luka Doncic-led Dallas Mavericks (37-39) on March 29, 2023 as a 5-point favorite. The over/under for the game is 231.5.

76ers vs. Mavericks Odds

76ers odds to win: -205
Mavericks odds to win: +172
Spread: 76ers (-5)
Total: 231.5

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Game Time and Information

When: Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Where: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
TV: ESPN, NBCS-PH, and BSSW

Who Will Win 76ers vs. Mavericks?

76ers and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The 76ers have a 14-14 record against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

In games this season in which they were an underdog by 5 points or more, the Mavericks have a 5-6 record against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 2.4 fewer points per game (229.1) than this matchup’s total of 231.5 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 223.9 points per game, 7.6 fewer than the over/under in this game.

The average point total in 76ers games this season is 5.8 fewer points than the total of 231.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for Dallas this year is 4.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Philadelphia has a 44-31-0 record against the spread this season.

The Mavericks’ ATS record is 28-44-4 this season.

76ers Stats & Insights

The 76ers have a +344 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.6 points per game. They’re putting up 115.2 points per game to rank 14th in the league and are allowing 110.6 per contest to rank third in the NBA.

The 40.9 rebounds per game the 76ers average rank 26th in the league. Their opponents grab 41.3 per contest.

Philadelphia connects on 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th in the league), 1.1 more than its opponents (11.5).

The 76ers rank fourth in the NBA with 115.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and seventh in the league defensively with 109.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The 76ers have scored at a lower clip when playing at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (114.7 at home versus 115.6 on the road), and have allowed fewer points at home than on the road (109.3 opponent points per home game versus 111.8 on the road).

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks have a +43 scoring differential, putting up 113.9 points per game (16th in league) and allowing 113.3 (15th in NBA).

Dallas ranks 30th in the NBA at 38.6 rebounds per game. That’s 5.6 fewer than the 44.2 its opponents average.

The Mavericks knock down 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 4.1 more than their opponents. They are shooting 37.1% from deep (ninth-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 35.0%.

The Mavericks score 114.3 points per 100 possessions (eighth in league), while giving up 113.5 points per 100 possessions (20th in NBA).

In 2022-23 Dallas is scoring 2.7 more points per game at home (115.2) than on the road (112.5).

76ers Key Players to Watch

The 76ers get 33.3 points, 10.2 rebounds and 4.2 assists from Embiid.

James Harden averages 21.4 points per game and adds 6.3 rebounds and 10.8 assists for the 76ers.

De’Anthony Melton leads active 76ers in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Melton averages 1.7 steals per game, while Embiid has 1.7 blocks per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic has averaged 32.9 points, pulled down 8.6 rebounds and handed out 8.1 assists per game so far in 2022-23.

Tim Hardaway Jr. hits 2.9 threes per game.

The Mavericks’ defensive effort gets a boost from Doncic’s 1.4 steals and Christian Wood’s 1.1 blocks per game.