Suns vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 29, 2023

The Phoenix Suns (40-35) are a 5-point favorite against the Minnesota Timberwolves (39-37) on March 29, 2023. The matchup’s point total is 234.

Suns vs. Timberwolves Odds

• Suns odds to win: -200
• Timberwolves odds to win: +167
• Spread: Suns (-5)
• Total: 234

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Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
• TV: ESPN, BSAZ, and BSN

Who Will Win Suns vs. Timberwolves?

Suns and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Suns have a 15-10-1 record against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

The Timberwolves have a 13-7 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 5 points or more.

These two teams average a combined 229.6 points per game, 4.4 fewer points than the over/under of 234 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227.9 points per game, 6.1 fewer than the point total for this matchup.

The average total the Suns have had set in games this year is 8.4 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

Minnesota’s games this year have averaged a total of 231.9 points, 2.1 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Phoenix is 37-35-3 ATS this season.

The Timberwolves’ ATS record is 36-38-2 this season.

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns’ +140 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 113.7 points per game (18th in the NBA) while allowing 111.9 per outing (fifth in the league).

The 44.1 rebounds per game the Suns average rank 10th in the NBA, and are 1.6 more than the 42.5 their opponents collect per contest.

Phoenix connects on 12.3 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.5. It shoots 37.6% from deep while its opponents hit 35.8% from long range.

The Suns average 112.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (15th in the league), and allow 110.4 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the NBA).

So far in 2022-23, the Suns’ offense has been better at home, where they score 114.5 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 113.0 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been tougher at home, where they give up 109.9 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to score 113.6 per game.

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves score 115.9 points per game (11th in NBA) and concede 116.0 (18th in league) for a -12 scoring differential overall.

Minnesota is 23rd in the league at 41.6 rebounds per game. That’s 2.9 fewer than the 44.5 its opponents average.

The Timberwolves make 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.6. They shoot 36.2% from deep, and their opponents shoot 37.1%.

The Timberwolves rank 22nd in the NBA with 111.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 10th defensively with 111.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Minnesota is scoring more points at home (116.4 per game) than on the road (115.3).

Suns Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Suns this season is Devin Booker (among active players), who averages 28.1 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game.

Deandre Ayton adds 18.2 points, 1.8 assists and 10.1 rebounds per matchup. Chris Paul puts up 13.6 points, 9.1 assists and 4.3 rebounds a game.

Damion Lee leads active Suns in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Paul averages 1.6 steals per game, while Bismack Biyombo swats 1.3 shots per contest.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Anthony Edwards scores 24.5 points per game. He also adds 5.8 rebounds per outing and 4.5 assists per contest.

Rudy Gobert has per-game averages of 13.8 points, 1.2 assists and 11.6 rebounds this season.

Edwards hits 2.7 treys per game.

The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts get a boost from Edwards’ 1.6 steals and Gobert’s 1.4 blocks per game.

Suns vs. Timberwolves Prediction

• Pick ATS: Suns (- 5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (234)
  

• Prediction:
  Suns 117 – Timberwolves 112

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