Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 28, 2023

The Golden State Warriors (39-37) are 8.5-point favorites as they prepare to take on the New Orleans Pelicans (38-37) on March 28, 2023. The game’s over/under is 235.

Warriors vs. Pelicans Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -361
• Pelicans odds to win: +286
• Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
• Total: 235

Warriors vs. Pelicans Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: TNT and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Pelicans?

Warriors and Pelicans Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Warriors have a 6-7 record against the spread this season when favored by 8.5 points or more.

The Pelicans are winless against the spread (0-3) when playing as at least 8.5-point underdogs.

These teams average a combined 232.6 points per game, 2.4 fewer points than the total of 235 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.9 fewer points per game (230.1) than this matchup’s over/under of 235 points.

The average total the Warriors have had set in games this season is 0.9 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for New Orleans this season is 8.2 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Golden State has gone 35-40-1 ATS this season.

The Pelicans have a 36-38-1 record against the spread this season.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors have a +35 scoring differential, putting up 118.2 points per game (second in the league) and allowing 117.7 (23rd in the NBA).

The Warriors are ninth in the NBA at 44.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 43.5 their opponents average.

Golden State hits 16.5 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.4 more than its opponents (13.1).

The Warriors rank 13th in the league by averaging 112.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 17th in the NBA, allowing 111.9 points per 100 possessions.

The Warriors have scored at a higher clip at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (119 at home versus 117.3 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points in home games than in road games (111.4 opponent points per home game versus 124.1 on the road).

Pelicans Stats & Insights

The Pelicans outscore opponents by two points per game (posting 114.4 points per game, 15th in league, and conceding 112.4 per contest, seventh in NBA) and have a +147 scoring differential.

New Orleans records 43.8 rebounds per game (12th in league) while conceding 41.8 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by two boards per game.

The Pelicans hit 11 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league), 1.2 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 36.1% from beyond the arc (16th in NBA) and opponents are shooting 33.8%.

The Pelicans rank 20th in the league averaging 111.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are fifth, allowing 109.7 points per 100 possessions.

At home, New Orleans averages 114.5 points per game. Away, it averages 114.3.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Jordan Poole leads active Warriors players in scoring, tallying 20.4 points per game to go with 2.7 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

Draymond Green is averaging 8.5 points, 6.8 assists and 7.3 rebounds per game, while Kevon Looney adds 7.2 points, 2.5 assists and 9.1 rebounds per contest.

The Warriors get 4.3 three-pointers per game out of Klay Thompson.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Pelicans Key Players to Watch

The Pelicans go-to guy, CJ McCollum, leads active Pelicans players in both scoring (20.9 points per game) and assists (5.9 assists per game).

This season, Jonas Valanciunas has a statline of 14.3 points, 1.7 assists and 10.1 rebounds per game.

McCollum averages 2.8 made threes per game.

Herbert Jones’ 1.6 steals and Valanciunas’ 0.6 blocks per game are key to the Pelicans’ defensive effort.

Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction

• Pick ATS: Pelicans (+ 8.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (235)
  

• Prediction:
  Warriors 117 – Pelicans 114

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