Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 29, 2023

Odds are against Bennedict Mathurin and the Indiana Pacers (33-43), who are an 11.5-point underdog when they take the court against Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks (54-21) on March 29, 2023. The matchup features an over/under of 236.5.

Bucks vs. Pacers Odds

• Bucks odds to win: -668
• Pacers odds to win: +473
• Spread: Bucks (-11.5)
• Total: 236.5

Bucks vs. Pacers Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: BSIN and BSWI

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Pacers?

Bucks and Pacers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 11.5-point favorites this season, the Bucks are 4-4 against the spread.

When they have played as at least 11.5-point underdogs this year, the Pacers are 2-1 against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 4.1 fewer points per game, 232.4, than this matchup’s over/under of 236.5 points.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 231.1 points per game, 5.4 fewer than the point total for this matchup.

The Bucks’ average point total in outings this year is 229.2, 7.3 points less than the over/under in this game.

The average point total for Indiana this year is 2.2 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, Milwaukee has put together a 40-30-5 record against the spread.

The Pacers are 39-36-1 against the spread this season.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks are outscoring opponents by 4.4 points per game with a +327 scoring differential overall. They put up 116.8 points per game (seventh in the NBA) and allow 112.4 per contest (eighth in the league).

The 48.9 rebounds per game the Bucks average rank first in the league, and are 4.3 more than the 44.6 their opponents grab per outing.

Milwaukee hits 14.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league) while shooting 36.5% from deep (12th in the NBA). It is making 3.0 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 11.8 per game while shooting 34.8%.

The Bucks rank ninth in the NBA with 114.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and third in the league defensively with 108.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Bucks have scored at a much higher rate at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (119.9 at home versus 113.8 on the road), though they have allowed fewer points in home games than in road games (111.9 opponent points per home game versus 113.0 on the road).

Pacers Stats & Insights

The Pacers put up 115.6 points per game (12th in league) while allowing 118.7 per contest (27th in NBA). They have a -231 scoring differential and have been outscored by 3.1 points per game.

Indiana is 24th in the NBA at 41.5 rebounds per game. That’s 3.6 fewer than the 45.1 its opponents average.

The Pacers connect on 1.1 more threes per game than the opposition, 13.6 (seventh-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.5.

The Pacers rank 24th in the NBA with 110.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 25th defensively with 114.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Indiana is averaging 5.0 more points per game at home (118.2) than away (113.2).

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Antetokounmpo averages 31.1 points, 11.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game.

Jrue Holiday contributes with 5.0 boards and 7.3 assists per game in addition to his 18.9 PPG scoring average.

Grayson Allen leads active Bucks in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Holiday picks pockets to the tune of 1.2 takeaways per game, while Brook Lopez collects 2.5 rejections per contest.

Pacers Key Players to Watch

Mathurin racks up 16.4 points per game. He also adds 3.9 rebounds per outing and 1.4 assists per contest.

This season, Myles Turner is averaging 18.0 points, 1.4 assists and 7.5 rebounds per game.

Aaron Nesmith averages 1.5 made threes per game.

T.J. McConnell’s 1.1 steals and Turner’s 2.3 blocks per game are important to the Pacers’ defensive effort.

Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction

• Pick ATS: Pacers (+ 11.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (236.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 119 – Pacers 112

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