Knicks vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 29, 2023

Bam Adebayo’s Miami Heat (40-36) will look to secure an upset of Julius Randle and the New York Knicks (43-33) on March 29, 2023. The Knicks are a 4.5-point favorite. The point total for the matchup is 224.5.

Knicks vs. Heat Odds

• Knicks odds to win: -186
• Heat odds to win: +157
• Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
• Total: 224.5

Knicks vs. Heat Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• TV: MSG and BSSUN

Who Will Win Knicks vs. Heat?

Knicks and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 4.5 points or more, the Knicks have a 9-9 record against the spread.

The Heat have a 5-7 record against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.

The Knicks and the Heat combine to average the same number of points per game as the total of 224.5 points set for this matchup.

New York and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 1.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 224.5 set for this game.

The average total for Knicks games this season is 3.9 more points than the total of 224.5 in this game.

Miami’s games this season have averaged an over/under of 218.8 points, 5.7 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

New York is 42-33-1 against the spread this season.

So far this year, the Heat have compiled a 27-45-4 record against the spread.

Knicks Stats & Insights

The Knicks are outscoring opponents by 2.8 points per game with a +212 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.6 points per game (12th in the NBA) and give up 112.8 per outing (13th in the league).

The 46.6 rebounds per game the Knicks average rank second in the NBA, and are 4.3 more than the 42.3 their opponents pull down per contest.

New York connects on 12.5 three-pointers per game (12th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.9. It shoots 35.0% from deep while its opponents hit 35.1% from long range.

The Knicks rank sixth in the NBA with 114.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 12th in the league defensively with 111.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Knicks have been better offensively at home, where they score 117.2 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 114.0 per game. Defensively, they are slightly worse in home games, where they surrender 112.9 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to average 112.7 per game.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat score 108.9 points per game (30th in NBA) and concede 109.9 (second in league) for a -72 scoring differential overall.

Miami pulls down 40.7 rebounds per game (27th in league) while allowing 42.0 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.3 boards per game.

The Heat make 11.7 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) while shooting 34.1% from deep (27th in NBA). They are making 1.5 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.2 per game at 36.9%.

The Heat rank 26th in the NBA with 109.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and ninth defensively with 110.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Miami is scoring 3.6 more points per game at home (110.7) than away (107.1).

Knicks Key Players to Watch

Randle averages 25.4 points and 10.0 rebounds per game, with 4.1 assists.

Jalen Brunson scores 23.8 points per game and adds 3.6 rebounds and 6.2 assists for the Knicks.

Randle leads active Knicks in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.9 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Josh Hart averages 1.2 steals per game, while Mitchell Robinson has 1.7 blocks per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Adebayo has been among the team’s best in both scoring (20.9 points per game) and rebounding (9.3 rebounds per game) while adding 3.3 assists per contest.

Jimmy Butler’s per-game averages this season are 22.8 points, 5.1 assists and 6.0 rebounds.

Tyler Herro hits 3.1 threes per game.

Butler’s 1.9 steals and Adebayo’s 0.9 blocks per game are important to the Heat’s defensive performance.

Knicks vs. Heat Prediction

• Pick ATS: Knicks (- 4.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (224.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Knicks 115 – Heat 108

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