Bucks vs. Celtics Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 30, 2023

Milwaukee is a 2.5-point favorite against Boston when Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Bucks (55-21) and the Jayson Tatum-led Celtics (52-24) meet on March 30, 2023. The point total for the matchup is 238.

Bucks vs. Celtics Odds

• Bucks odds to win: -139
• Celtics odds to win: +118
• Spread: Bucks (-2.5)
• Total: 238

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Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, March 30, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Celtics?

Bucks and Celtics Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Bucks have a 28-20-3 record against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

The Celtics are 2-1 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 2.8 fewer points per game (235.2) than this matchup’s total of 238 points.

Milwaukee and Boston have seen its opponents average a combined 13.2 fewer points per game than the point total of 238 set for this matchup.

The average point total for Bucks games this year is eight fewer points than the over/under of 238 in this matchup.

The average over/under for Boston’s games this year is eight fewer points than the point total of 238 for this outing.

So far this season, Milwaukee has compiled a 40-31-5 record against the spread.

The Celtics are 39-34-3 ATS this year.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks have a +340 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.4 points per game. They’re putting up 117.2 points per game to rank sixth in the league and are allowing 112.8 per contest to rank 12th in the NBA.

The Bucks win the rebound battle by an average of 4.5 boards. They are recording 48.9 rebounds per game (first in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.4 per outing.

Milwaukee makes 2.8 more threes per game than the opposition, 14.7 (fourth-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.9.

The Bucks rank eighth in the league by averaging 114.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are third in the NBA, allowing 108.7 points per 100 possessions.

The Bucks have scored at a much higher rate when playing at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (119.9 at home versus 114.7 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than on the road (111.9 opponent points per home game versus 113.6 on the road).

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics are outscoring opponents by six points per game, with a +459 scoring differential overall. They put up 118 points per game (third in NBA) and give up 112 per contest (sixth in league).

The 45.2 rebounds per game Boston accumulates rank seventh in the NBA, 1.2 more than the 44 its opponents pull down.

The Celtics knock down 4.1 more threes per game than the opposition, 15.9 (second-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.8.

The Celtics record 115.6 points per 100 possessions (third in league), while giving up 109.1 points per 100 possessions (fourth in NBA).

Boston is scoring more points at home (121.1 per game) than on the road (115.1).

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Antetokounmpo accumulates 31.2 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, with 5.7 assists.

Jrue Holiday contributes with five boards and 7.3 assists per game in addition to his 19.4 PPG scoring average.

Holiday makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Bucks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.

Holiday averages 1.2 steals per game, while Brook Lopez swats 2.5 shots per contest.

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Tatum holds the top Celtics spot in two categories among active players: scoring (30.1 points per game) and rebounding (8.9 rebounds per game). He also dishes out 4.7 assists per contest.

The Celtics have gotten 11.4 points, 6.3 assists and 3.1 rebounds out of Marcus Smart this season.

Tatum averages 3.2 made threes per game.

The Celtics’ defensive efforts get a boost from Smart’s 1.6 steals and Derrick White’s 0.9 blocks per game.

Bucks vs. Celtics Prediction

• Pick ATS: Bucks (- 2.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (238)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 116 – Celtics 114

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