Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 31, 2023

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-39) enter their game against the Buddy Hield-led Indiana Pacers (33-44) on March 31, 2023 as a 5.5-point favorite. A 243-point over/under is set for the game.

Thunder vs. Pacers Odds

• Thunder odds to win: -194
• Pacers odds to win: +165
• Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
• Total: 243

Thunder vs. Pacers Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, March 31, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: BSIN and BSOK

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Pacers?

Thunder and Pacers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Thunder have a 4-4 record against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.

The Pacers have a 14-13 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 5.5 points or more.

These two teams average a combined 233.4 points per game, 9.6 fewer points than the over/under of 243 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 235.5 points per game, 7.5 fewer than the over/under in this game.

The Thunder’s average point total in outings this season is 233.8, 9.2 points fewer than the over/under in this game.

Indiana’s games this year have averaged a total of 235 points, eight fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Oklahoma City is 45-31-1 against the spread this season.

The Pacers have gone 40-36-1 ATS this season.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder’s +83 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 117.5 points per game (fifth in the NBA) while giving up 116.4 per outing (19th in the league).

The Thunder lose the rebound battle by three boards on average. They collect 43.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in the league, while their opponents grab 46.6 per outing.

Oklahoma City connects on 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) at a 35.9% rate (17th in the NBA), compared to the 13 its opponents make while shooting 36.2% from beyond the arc.

The Thunder rank 15th in the NBA with 112.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th in the league defensively with 111.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In the 2022-23 season, the Thunder score 7.3 more points per home game on average than on the road (121.1 at home, 113.8 on the road), but are conceding 1.4 fewer points per home game compared to road games (115.7 at home, 117.1 on the road).

Pacers Stats & Insights

The Pacers put up 115.9 points per game (11th in league) while giving up 119.1 per outing (29th in NBA). They have a -244 scoring differential and have been outscored by 3.2 points per game.

Indiana ranks 24th in the NBA at 41.4 rebounds per game. That’s 3.8 fewer than the 45.2 its opponents average.

The Pacers make 13.6 three-pointers per game (sixth-most in the league), 1.1 more than their opponents. They are shooting 36.5% from deep (11th in NBA), and opponents are shooting 37.5%.

The Pacers rank 24th in the league averaging 110.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 25th, allowing 115.2 points per 100 possessions.

At home Indiana is scoring 118.7 points per game, 5.5 more than it is averaging on the road (113.2).

Thunder Key Players to Watch

Josh Giddey has a statline of 16.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game.

Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.3 points per game to go with 4.8 rebounds and 5.4 assists.

Isaiah Joe leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Gilgeous-Alexander has collected 1.7 steals and one block per game.

Pacers Key Players to Watch

Hield racks up 16.9 points per game and also tacks on five rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest.

This season, Myles Turner is averaging 18 points, 1.4 assists and 7.5 rebounds per game.

Hield averages 3.6 made threes per game.

Hield’s 1.2 steals and Turner’s 2.3 blocks per game are key to the Pacers’ defensive effort.

Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction

• Pick ATS: Pacers (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (243)
  

• Prediction:
  Thunder 118 – Pacers 116

How to Bet on Thunder vs. Pacers

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.