Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Friday, March 31, 2023

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Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 31, 2023

NBA Predictions

Golden State is a huge favorite against San Antonio when the Jordan Poole-led Warriors (40-37) and the Keldon Johnson-led Spurs (19-57) square off on March 31, 2023. The Warriors are 18.5-point favorites. The point total for the matchup is 241.

Warriors vs. Spurs Odds

  • Warriors odds to win: -2123
  • Spurs odds to win: +1095
  • Spread: Warriors (-18.5)
  • Total: 241

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Friday, March 31, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: NBCS-BA and KENS

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Spurs?

Warriors and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Spurs have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 18.5 points or more this year (0-1).

The Warriors and the Spurs combine to average 10.7 fewer points per game than the total of 241 set for this game.

Golden State and San Antonio have seen its opponents average a combined 0.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 241 set for this outing.

The average point total for Warriors games this season is 5.2 fewer points than the total of 241 in this matchup.

The average over/under in San Antonio’s games this season is 6.3 fewer points than the point total of 241 for this outing.

So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 36-40-1 record against the spread.

The Spurs are 30-46-0 against the spread this season.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors have a +46 scoring differential, putting up 118.2 points per game (third in the league) and giving up 117.6 (23rd in the NBA).

The 44.1 rebounds per game the Warriors average rank 10th in the league. Their opponents pull down 43.5 per outing.

Golden State hits 3.4 more threes per game than the opposition, 16.5 (first in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.1.

The Warriors’ 112.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 12th in the NBA, and the 111.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 16th in the league.

So far in 2022-23, the Warriors’ offense has been better at home, where they score 119 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 117.3 per game. On defense, they have been much better in home games, where they allow 111.3 points per game, versus road games, where they allow opponents to average 124.1 per game.

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs’ -798 scoring differential (being outscored by 10.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 112.1 points per game (25th in NBA) while giving up 122.6 per contest (30th in league).

San Antonio ranks 15th in the league at 43.3 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 fewer than the 44.9 its opponents average.

The Spurs knock down 10.9 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league), 1.5 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 34.3% from deep (25th in NBA) and opponents are shooting 39.3%.

The Spurs rank 30th in the league averaging 106.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 30th, allowing 117.6 points per 100 possessions.

San Antonio scores 114.3 points per game at home, and 109.8 away.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The Warriors active scoring leader is Poole, who averages 20.4 per contest to go with 2.8 rebounds and 4.5 assists.

Kevon Looney adds 7.2 points, 2.5 assists and 9.1 rebounds per outing. Draymond Green puts up 8.5 points, 6.9 assists and 7.3 rebounds a game.

The Warriors get 4.3 three-pointers per game out of Klay Thompson.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Johnson has been among the team’s best in both scoring (22 points per game) and rebounding (5.1 rebounds per game) while adding 2.9 assists per contest.

Tre Jones’ per-game averages this season are 12.5 points, 6.3 assists and 3.5 rebounds.

Johnson makes 2.1 treys per game.

The Spurs’ defensive effort gets a lift from Jones’ 1.4 steals and Devin Vassell’s 0.4 blocks per game.

Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Spurs (+ 18.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (241)

  • Prediction:
    Warriors 125 – Spurs 110

How to Bet on Warriors vs. Spurs

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Author: Luis Escalante

Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.