Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 31, 2023
The Phoenix Suns (41-35) take the court as 10-point favorites against the Denver Nuggets (51-25) on March 31, 2023. The point total for the matchup is 227.5.
Suns vs. Nuggets Odds
- Suns odds to win: -460
- Nuggets odds to win: +356
- Spread: Suns (-10)
- Total: 227.5
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Game Time and Information
- When: Friday, March 31, 2023 at 10:30 PM ET
- Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
- TV: NBA TV, BSAZ, and ALT
Who Will Win Suns vs. Nuggets?
Suns and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Suns have a 6-3 record against the spread in games they were favored by 10 points or more this season.
In games they have played as at least 10-point underdogs this season, the Nuggets are 2-0 against the spread.
The Suns and Nuggets average 2.5 more points between them than the over/under of 227.5 for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 224.3 points per game, 3.2 fewer than the over/under for this game.
The average over/under the Suns have had set in matchups this season is 2.2 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for Denver this year is 1.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Phoenix has a 38-35-3 record against the spread this season.
The Nuggets have a 40-34-2 record against the spread this year.
Suns Stats & Insights
The Suns are outscoring opponents by 1.9 points per game with a +147 scoring differential overall. They put up 113.6 points per game (17th in the NBA) and give up 111.7 per contest (fifth in the league).
The Suns rank 10th in the league at 44.1 rebounds per game. That’s 1.5 more than the 42.6 their opponents average.
Phoenix knocks down 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) at a 37.5% rate (seventh-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.5 its opponents make while shooting 35.8% from beyond the arc.
The Suns’ 112 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 17th in the NBA, and the 110.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank eighth in the league.
So far in the 2022-23 season, the Suns are scoring 1.3 more points per home game on average than on the road (114.3 at home, 113 on the road), but are conceding 3.9 fewer points per home game compared to road games (109.7 at home, 113.6 on the road).
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game, with a +293 scoring differential overall. They put up 116.4 points per game (ninth in NBA) and allow 112.6 per contest (10th in league).
Denver ranks 19th in the league at 42.8 rebounds per game. That’s 2.5 more than the 40.3 its opponents average.
The Nuggets knock down 12 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), while their opponents have made 11.4 on average.
The Nuggets’ 117.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in the NBA, and the 113.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 19th in the league.
Denver scores 119.8 points per game at home, and 112.8 on the road.
Suns Key Players to Watch
Devin Booker leads active Suns players in scoring, tallying 28.2 points per game to go with 4.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists.
Deandre Ayton adds 18.1 points, 1.8 assists and 10 rebounds per outing. Chris Paul puts up 13.7 points, 9.1 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.
Damion Lee leads active Suns in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Paul averages 1.6 steals per game, while Bismack Biyombo swats 1.4 shots per contest.
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic has scored 24.9 points, pulled down 11.9 rebounds and handed out 9.9 assists per game so far in 2022-23.
Michael Porter Jr. averages three made threes per game.
The Nuggets’ defensive effort gets a boost from Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s 1.5 steals and Bruce Brown’s 0.6 blocks per game.
Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction
- Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 10)
- Pick OU:
Under (227.5)
- Prediction:
Suns 114 – Nuggets 113
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