Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 2, 2023

The Golden State Warriors (41-37) will look to top scorer Jordan Poole (20.5 ppg) when they try to knock off the Nikola Jokic-led Denver Nuggets (51-26) on April 2, 2023. The Warriors are 2.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets. A 233.5-point total has been set for the game.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -138
• Warriors odds to win: +117
• Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
• Total: 233.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 2, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: NBA TV, ALT, and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Warriors?

Nuggets and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 2.5 points or more, the Nuggets have a 29-24-1 record against the spread.

The Warriors have a 9-11 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.

The two teams average a combined 0.9 more points per game (234.4) than this matchup’s total of 233.5 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 230 points per game, 3.5 fewer than the over/under for this game.

The Nuggets’ average point total in matchups this season is 228.5, 5.0 points below the total in this game.

Golden State’s games this season have averaged a total of 235.9 points, 2.4 more than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, Denver has compiled a 41-34-2 record against the spread.

So far this season, the Warriors have compiled a 36-41-1 record against the spread.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets average 116.1 points per game (10th in the league) while giving up 112.4 per outing (ninth in the NBA). They have a +286 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 3.7 points per game.

The Nuggets prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 2.5 boards. They are recording 42.9 rebounds per game (19th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 40.4 per contest.

Denver connects on 11.9 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) at a 38.4% rate (second-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.3 its opponents make while shooting 34.6% from deep.

The Nuggets score 116.9 points per 100 possessions (second in the league), while allowing 113.1 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).

So far in 2022-23, the Nuggets’ offense has been much better at home, where they score 119.8 points per game, compared to on the road, where they score 112.3 per game. On defense, they have been better at home, where they surrender 110.0 points per game, versus road games, where they let their opponents to average 114.9 per game.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors put up 118.3 points per game (third in league) while giving up 117.6 per contest (23rd in NBA). They have a +61 scoring differential.

The 44.1 rebounds per game Golden State accumulates rank 11th in the NBA. Their opponents grab 43.5.

The Warriors make 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league) at a 38.4% rate (second-best in NBA), compared to the 13.1 per game their opponents make, at a 36.8% rate.

The Warriors put up 113.0 points per 100 possessions (12th in league), while allowing 111.8 points per 100 possessions (16th in NBA).

At home, Golden State scores 119.3 points per game. On the road, it scores 117.3.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic averages 24.9 points and 11.9 rebounds per game, with 9.9 assists.

The Nuggets get 3.0 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon has 0.7 blocks per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Poole puts up 20.5 points per game. He also adds 2.7 rebounds per outing and 4.6 assists per contest.

This season, Kevon Looney has a statline of 7.2 points, 2.5 assists and 9.1 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson hits 4.3 threes per game.

Donte DiVincenzo’s 1.3 steals and Draymond Green’s 0.8 blocks per game are vital to the Warriors’ defensive performance.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 2.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (233.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 119 – Warriors 113

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