Bucks vs. Wizards Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

The Milwaukee Bucks (56-22) head into their matchup against the Washington Wizards (34-44) on April 4, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Milwaukee is favored by 14 points. A 230-point total is set for the game.

Bucks vs. Wizards Odds

• Bucks odds to win: -930
• Wizards odds to win: +620
• Spread: Bucks (-14)
• Total: 230

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Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
• TV: NBCS-DC and BSWI

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Wizards?

Bucks and Wizards Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Bucks are 1-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least 14-point favorites.

The two teams average a combined 230 points per game, the same as this matchup’s over/under.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 226.9 points per game, 3.1 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

The Bucks’ average point total in matchups this year is 230, the same as the over/under in this game.

Washington’s games this season have averaged a total of 226.8 points, 3.2 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Milwaukee has a 41-32-5 record against the spread this season.

The Wizards are 35-40-3 ATS this season.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks have a +312 scoring differential, topping opponents by four points per game. They’re putting up 117 points per game to rank seventh in the league and are allowing 113 per contest to rank 14th in the NBA.

The Bucks win the rebound battle by 4.5 boards on average. They record 48.8 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league, while their opponents grab 44.3 per contest.

Milwaukee makes 14.7 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league), 2.7 more than its opponents (12). It is shooting 36.4% from beyond the arc (13th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.1%.

The Bucks rank ninth in the league by averaging 114.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are fourth in the NBA, allowing 109.1 points per 100 possessions.

During the 2022-23 season, the Bucks score 4.6 more points per home game on average than on the road (119.3 at home, 114.7 on the road), but are allowing 1.2 fewer points per home game compared to road games (112.4 at home, 113.6 on the road).

Wizards Stats & Insights

The Wizards put up 113 points per game (23rd in league) while giving up 113.9 per outing (16th in NBA). They have a -70 scoring differential.

Washington grabs 43.6 rebounds per game (13th in league), compared to the 42.6 of its opponents.

The Wizards connect on 11.3 three-pointers per game (21st in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.9. They shoot 35.9% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.4%.

The Wizards rank 21st in the league averaging 111.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 24th, allowing 114.7 points per 100 possessions.

At home, Washington scores 114 points per game. Away, it scores 112.

Bucks Key Players to Watch

The Bucks get 31.1 points, 11.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists from Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Jrue Holiday’s averages this season are 19.1 points, five rebounds and 7.2 assists per game.

Holiday makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Bucks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.

Holiday averages 1.2 steals per game, while Brook Lopez has 2.5 blocks per contest.

Wizards Key Players to Watch

Corey Kispert scores 10.8 points per game. He also adds 2.8 rebounds per outing and 1.2 assists per contest.

This season, Daniel Gafford is averaging 8.6 points, one assist and 5.5 rebounds per game.

Kispert knocks down 2.2 threes per game.

The Wizards’ defensive effort gets a boost from Delon Wright’s 1.9 steals and Gafford’s 1.3 blocks per game.

Bucks vs. Wizards Prediction

• Pick ATS: Wizards (+ 14)
• Pick OU:

  Under (230)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 116 – Wizards 112

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