Heat vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

The Miami Heat (41-37) enter their game against the Detroit Pistons (16-62) on April 4, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Miami is favored by 14 points. The game has a point total of 218.

Heat vs. Pistons Odds

• Heat odds to win: -1025
• Pistons odds to win: +665
• Spread: Heat (-14)
• Total: 218

Heat vs. Pistons Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
• TV: BSDET and BSSUN

Who Will Win Heat vs. Pistons?

Heat and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Pistons have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 14 points or more this year (0-3).

These teams average 219.6 points per game combined, 1.6 more than the over/under of 218.

Miami and Detroit have seen its opponents average a combined 10.6 more points per game than the point total of 218 set in this matchup.

The average over/under the Heat have had in their matchups this season is 0.9 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average total in Detroit’s games this season is 11.3 more points than the point total of 218 for this outing.

Miami is 28-46-4 ATS this season.

The Pistons are 34-43-1 ATS this season.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat score 109 points per game (30th in the NBA) and give up 109.9 (second in the league) for a -74 scoring differential overall.

The Heat come up short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. They are pulling down 40.6 rebounds per game (28th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 41.9 per outing.

Miami connects on 11.7 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), 1.5 fewer than its opponents (13.2).

The Heat rank 25th in the league by averaging 109.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are ninth in the NBA, allowing 110.7 points per 100 possessions.

The Heat have scored at a higher rate at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (111.2 at home versus 106.7 on the road), and have also surrendered more points at home than on the road (110.3 opponent points per home game versus 109.6 on the road).

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons have a -631 scoring differential, falling short by 8.1 points per game. They’re putting up 110.6 points per game, 28th in the league, and are allowing 118.7 per outing to rank 27th in the NBA.

The 42.4 rebounds per game Detroit accumulates rank 20th in the NBA, 2.6 fewer than the 45 its opponents record.

The Pistons hit 11.4 three-pointers per game (20th in the league), while their opponents have made 12 on average.

The Pistons average 107.9 points per 100 possessions (28th in league), while giving up 116.1 points per 100 possessions (27th in NBA).

At home Detroit is putting up 112.6 points per game, four more than it is averaging on the road (108.6).

Heat Key Players to Watch

The Heat get 20.7 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.3 assists from Bam Adebayo.

Jimmy Butler’s averages this season are 22.8 points, 5.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game.

The Heat get 3.1 three-pointers per game out of Tyler Herro.

Butler averages 1.8 steals per game, while Adebayo has 0.9 blocks per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

Jaden Ivey scores 15.8 points per game. He also contributes 3.9 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game this season.

This season, Jalen Duren has a statline of 8.9 points, 1.1 assists and 8.7 rebounds per game.

Ivey averages 1.6 made threes per game.

The Pistons’ defensive efforts get a boost from Killian Hayes’ 1.4 steals and Duren’s 0.9 blocks per game.

Heat vs. Pistons Prediction

• Pick ATS: Pistons (+ 14)
• Pick OU:

  Over (218)
  

• Prediction:
  Heat 116 – Pistons 108

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