Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

The Denver Nuggets (52-26) take the court as 8.5-point favorites against the Houston Rockets (19-60) on April 4, 2023. A 230-point over/under is set for the game.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -369
• Rockets odds to win: +293
• Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
• Total: 230

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Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: SportsNet SW and ALT2

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Rockets?

Nuggets and Rockets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets are 10-10-1 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.

The Rockets are 12-23-2 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.

The Nuggets and the Rockets combine to average 3.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 230 set for this matchup.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 231.4 points per game, 1.4 more than the over/under for this game.

The average total the Nuggets have had set in games this season is 1.5 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average total in Houston’s games this season is 0.4 fewer points than the point total of 230 in this outing.

Denver has a 42-34-2 record against the spread this season.

The Rockets have gone 30-45-4 ATS this year.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets have a +288 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.7 points per game. They’re putting up 116.1 points per game to rank 10th in the league and are allowing 112.4 per contest to rank ninth in the NBA.

The 42.9 rebounds per game the Nuggets average rank 19th in the NBA, and are 2.3 more than the 40.6 their opponents pull down per contest.

Denver connects on 11.9 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.3. It shoots 38.3% from deep while its opponents hit 34.4% from long range.

The Nuggets average 116.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (second in the league), and give up 113 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).

During the 2022-23 campaign, the Nuggets score 7.4 more points per home game on average than on the road (119.7 at home, 112.3 on the road), but are conceding 4.9 fewer points per home game compared to road games (110 at home, 114.9 on the road).

Rockets Stats & Insights

The Rockets have been outscored by 8.5 points per game (posting 110.5 points per game, 29th in league, while giving up 119 per outing, 28th in NBA) and have a -673 scoring differential.

Houston wins the rebound battle by 4.8 boards on average. It collects 46.1 rebounds per game, fourth in the league, while its opponents grab 41.3.

The Rockets connect on 10.5 three-pointers per game (29th in the league), 4.1 fewer than their opponents.

The Rockets average 107.6 points per 100 possessions (29th in league), while giving up 117.5 points per 100 possessions (29th in NBA).

Houston scores 110.4 points per game at home, and 110.6 away.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

The Nuggets get 24.9 points, 11.9 rebounds and 9.9 assists from Nikola Jokic.

Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope picks up 1.5 takeaways per game, while Bruce Brown collects 0.6 rejections per contest.

Rockets Key Players to Watch

Jalen Green scores 22.1 points per game. He also contributes 3.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game this season.

This season, Alperen Sengun has a statline that includes 14.8 points, 3.8 assists and 8.8 rebounds per game.

Green knocks down 2.5 threes per game.

The Rockets’ defensive efforts get a lift from Tari Eason (1.2 steals per game) and Jabari Smith Jr. (0.9 blocks per game).

Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 8.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (230)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 120 – Rockets 109

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