Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Odds are against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-41), who are an 8-point underdog when they take the court against Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors (41-38) on April 4, 2023. A point total of 242.5 has been set for the game.

Warriors vs. Thunder Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -349
• Thunder odds to win: +271
• Spread: Warriors (-8)
• Total: 242.5

Warriors vs. Thunder Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: NBCS-BA and BSOK

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Thunder?

Warriors and Thunder Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 8-point favorites this season, the Warriors are 8-9 against the spread.

In games they have played as at least 8-point underdogs this year, the Thunder are 8-3-1 against the spread.

These two teams average a combined 235.7 points per game, 6.8 fewer points than the total of 242.5 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.4 fewer points per game (234.1) than this matchup’s over/under of 242.5 points.

The Warriors’ average point total in outings this season is 235.7, 6.8 points fewer than the total in this game.

The average point total for Oklahoma City this year is 8.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Golden State’s ATS record is 36-42-1 this season.

The Thunder have a 45-33-1 record against the spread this season.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors have a +59 scoring differential, putting up 118.2 points per game (third in the league) and allowing 117.5 (22nd in the NBA).

The Warriors rank ninth in the NBA at 44.3 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 43.6 their opponents average.

Golden State hits 16.5 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.5 more than its opponents (13).

The Warriors put up 112.9 points per 100 possessions (12th in the league), while allowing 111.8 points per 100 possessions (16th in the NBA).

The Warriors have scored at a higher clip when playing at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (119.3 at home versus 117.2 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than in road games (111.4 opponent points per home game versus 123.7 on the road).

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder have a +69 scoring differential, putting up 117.5 points per game (fifth in league) and conceding 116.6 (21st in NBA).

The 43.6 rebounds per game Oklahoma City accumulates rank 13th in the NBA, three fewer than the 46.6 its opponents record.

The Thunder knock down 12.1 three-pointers per game (14th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13. They shoot 35.7% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.2%.

The Thunder score 112.2 points per 100 possessions (14th in league), while giving up 111.5 points per 100 possessions (14th in NBA).

At home Oklahoma City is putting up 121 points per game, 7.2 more than it is averaging on the road (113.8).

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The Warriors active scoring leader is Poole, who averages 20.5 per contest to go with 2.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists.

Kevon Looney adds 7.1 points, 2.5 assists and 9.2 rebounds per matchup. Draymond Green puts up 8.4 points, 6.9 assists and 7.3 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Warriors, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 4.3 per contest.

Donte DiVincenzo picks up 1.3 takeaways per game, and Green collects 0.8 rejections per contest.

Thunder Key Players to Watch

Josh Giddey pours in 7.9 rebounds per game and 6.2 assists per game to go with the 16.6 points he racks up a contest.

Gilgeous-Alexander has per-game averages of 31.5 points, 5.4 assists and 4.8 rebounds this season.

Isaiah Joe hits 2.2 threes per game.

Gilgeous-Alexander’s 1.7 steals and one block per game are vital to the Thunder’s defensive performance.

Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction

• Pick ATS: Thunder (+ 8)
• Pick OU:

  Under (242.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Warriors 119 – Thunder 116

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