76ers vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 6, 2023

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (42-37) have a chance to secure an upset victory when they hit the court as just 1-point underdogs against Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers (52-27) on Thursday. The over/under for the game is 219.5.

76ers vs. Heat Odds

• 76ers odds to win: -119
• Heat odds to win: -101
• Spread: 76ers (-1)
• Total: 219.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, April 6, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win 76ers vs. Heat?

76ers and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 1-point favorites this season, the 76ers are 33-22 against the spread.

The Heat have a 10-12 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 1 point or more.

Between them, these two teams average 4.5 more points per game (224) than this matchup’s total (219.5).

Philadelphia and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 0.8 more points per game than the point total of 219.5 set in this matchup.

The average over/under the 76ers have had in their matchups this season is 5.9 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average total in Miami’s games this year is 0.6 fewer points than the point total of 219.5 for this outing.

Philadelphia is 46-33-0 against the spread this season.

So far this year, the Heat have compiled a 28-47-4 record against the spread.

76ers Stats & Insights

The 76ers are outscoring opponents by 4.4 points per game with a +348 scoring differential overall. They put up 114.9 points per game (14th in the NBA) and allow 110.5 per contest (third in the league).

The 40.8 rebounds per game the 76ers average rank 26th in the league. Their opponents pull down 41.2 per contest.

Philadelphia hits 1.2 more threes per contest than the opposition, 12.7 (11th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.5.

The 76ers rank third in the league by averaging 115.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are eighth in the NBA, allowing 110.1 points per 100 possessions.

The 76ers’ offense has been much worse in home games (114.5 PPG) compared to their play on the road (115.3 PPG). However, their defense has been better when playing at home (109.1 PPG allowed) compared to their play on the road (112 PPG allowed).

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat have a -61 scoring differential, putting up 109.1 points per game (30th in league) and allowing 109.8 (second in NBA).

Miami ranks 28th in the league at 40.5 rebounds per game. That’s 1.4 fewer than the 41.9 its opponents average.

The Heat connect on 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) while shooting 34.1% from beyond the arc (27th in NBA). They are making 1.4 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.2 per game at 37%.

The Heat score 110.1 points per 100 possessions (25th in league), while allowing 110.7 points per 100 possessions (ninth in NBA).

At home, Miami scores 111.2 points per game. On the road, it scores 106.9.

76ers Key Players to Watch

Embiid puts up 33.3 points and 10.2 rebounds per game, with 4.2 assists.

James Harden scores 21.1 points per game and adds 6.1 rebounds and 10.8 assists for the 76ers.

Tyrese Maxey makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the 76ers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.7 per contest.

De’Anthony Melton picks pockets to the tune of 1.7 takeaways per game, while Embiid compiles 1.7 rejections per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Adebayo holds the top Heat spot in two categories among active players: scoring (20.7 points per game) and rebounding (9.3 rebounds per game). He also dishes out 3.3 assists per contest.

The Heat have gotten 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds out of Jimmy Butler this season.

Tyler Herro averages three made threes per game.

Butler’s 1.9 steals and Adebayo’s 0.8 blocks per game are key to the Heat’s defensive effort.

76ers vs. Heat Prediction

• Pick ATS: 76ers (- 1)
• Pick OU:

  Over (219.5)
  

• Prediction:
  76ers 115 – Heat 107

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