Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 6, 2023

Keldon Johnson and the San Antonio Spurs (20-59) will look to fend off Damian Lillard’s Portland Trail Blazers (33-46) on April 6, 2023. The Spurs are a 4-point favorite. The game’s point total is 227.5.

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Odds

• Spurs odds to win: -182
• Trail Blazers odds to win: +155
• Spread: Spurs (-4)
• Total: 227.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, April 6, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Moody Center in Austin, Texas
• TV: CW35 and ROOT Sports NW+

Who Will Win Spurs vs. Trail Blazers?

Spurs and Trail Blazers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Trail Blazers have a 15-17-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this season.

The Spurs and the Trail Blazers combine to average 2.0 fewer points per game than the total of 227.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 239.2 points per game, 11.7 more than the over/under for this game.

The average total the Spurs have had in their matchups this year is 7.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average point total for Portland this year is 2.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

San Antonio has a 32-47-0 record against the spread this season.

So far this year, the Trail Blazers have put together a 36-42-1 record against the spread.

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs have a -826 scoring differential, falling short by 10.4 points per game. They’re putting up 112.3 points per game to rank 25th in the league and are giving up 122.7 per contest to rank 30th in the NBA.

The 43.3 rebounds per game the Spurs average rank 15th in the NBA, and are 1.8 fewer than the 45.1 their opponents record per outing.

San Antonio knocks down 11.1 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league), 1.4 fewer than its opponents (12.5). It is shooting 34.4% from deep (25th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 39%.

The Spurs rank 30th in the NBA with 106.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 30th in the league defensively with 117.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Spurs have scored at a higher clip at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (114.3 at home versus 110.3 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than away from home (120.5 opponent points per home game versus 124.9 on the road).

Trail Blazers Stats & Insights

The Trail Blazers’ -260 scoring differential (being outscored by 3.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 113.2 points per game (19th in NBA) while allowing 116.5 per contest (19th in league).

Portland loses the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It collects 40.8 rebounds per game, 26th in the league, while its opponents pull down 42.9.

The Trail Blazers knock down 12.9 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.4. They shoot 36.5% from deep, and their opponents shoot 37.7%.

The Trail Blazers’ 112.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in the NBA, and the 115.6 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 26th in the league.

At home, Portland averages 116 points per game. Away, it averages 110.4.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Johnson leads active Spurs players in scoring, tallying 22 points per game to go with five rebounds and 2.9 assists.

Tre Jones contributes with 12.7 points, 6.4 assists and 3.5 rebounds a game, and Zach Collins adds 11.5 points, 2.8 assists and 6.3 rebounds per matchup.

The Spurs get 2.1 three-pointers per game out of Johnson.

Jones averages 1.4 steals per game, while Collins swats 0.7 shots per contest.

Trail Blazers Key Players to Watch

The Trail Blazers go-to guy, Lillard, leads active Trail Blazers players in both scoring (32.2 points per game) and assists (7.3 assists per game).

Drew Eubanks’ per-game averages this season are 6.4 points, 1.3 assists and 5.3 rebounds.

Lillard averages 4.2 made threes per game.

The Trail Blazers’ defensive efforts get a lift from Matisse Thybulle’s 1.2 steals and Eubanks’ 1.3 blocks per game.

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Prediction

• Pick ATS: Trail Blazers (+ 4)
• Pick OU:

  Over (227.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Trail Blazers 118 – Spurs 115

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