Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 6, 2023

Phoenix is a double-digit favorite against Denver when Devin Booker’s Suns (44-35) and Nikola Jokic’s Nuggets (52-27) meet on April 6, 2023. The line has the Suns favored by 12 points. A 222.5-point total has been set for the game.

Suns vs. Nuggets Odds

• Suns odds to win: -656
• Nuggets odds to win: +470
• Spread: Suns (-12)
• Total: 222.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, April 6, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
• TV: TNT and BSAZ

Who Will Win Suns vs. Nuggets?

Suns and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Suns have a 4-3 record against the spread in games they were favored by 12 points or more this season.

In games they have played as at least 12-point underdogs this season, the Nuggets are 2-0 against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 7.1 more points per game (229.6) than this game’s over/under of 222.5 points.

Phoenix and Denver have seen its opponents average a combined 1.3 more points per game than the over/under of 222.5 set in this game.

The average total the Suns have had set in games this year is 2.5 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average total in Denver’s games this year is 5.9 more points than the point total of 222.5 in this outing.

So far this season, Phoenix has put together a 40-36-3 record against the spread.

The Nuggets have a 42-35-2 record against the spread this year.

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns have a +185 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.4 points per game. They’re putting up 113.7 points per game to rank 17th in the league and are giving up 111.3 per outing to rank fourth in the NBA.

The Suns win the rebound battle by 1.6 boards on average. They record 44.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the league, while their opponents pull down 42.7 per outing.

Phoenix connects on 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) at a 37.5% rate (seventh-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.5 its opponents make while shooting 35.6% from beyond the arc.

The Suns rank 17th in the NBA with 112.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth in the league defensively with 109.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Suns’ offense has been much better at home (114 PPG) compared to away games (113.4 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better at home (108.8 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (113.7 PPG allowed).

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets outscore opponents by 3.4 points per game (posting 115.9 points per game, 11th in league, and allowing 112.5 per outing, eighth in NBA) and have a +267 scoring differential.

Denver is 18th in the NBA at 43 rebounds per game. That’s 2.2 more than the 40.8 its opponents average.

The Nuggets connect on 11.9 three-pointers per game (17th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.3. They shoot 38.1% from deep, and their opponents shoot 34.4%.

The Nuggets’ 116.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank second in the NBA, and the 113 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 19th in the league.

At home, Denver scores 119.7 points per game. Away, it scores 112.1.

Suns Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Suns this season is Booker (among active players), who averages 28 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.5 assists per game.

Deandre Ayton adds 18 points, 1.7 assists and 10 rebounds per outing. Chris Paul puts up 13.7 points, nine assists and 4.2 rebounds a game.

Booker leads active Suns in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Paul averages 1.6 takeaways per game, while Bismack Biyombo compiles 1.4 rejections per contest.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic is having a strong season overall, averaging 24.8 points per game, 11.9 rebounds per game, and 9.8 assists per game.

Michael Porter Jr. averages three made threes per game.

The Nuggets’ defensive efforts get a boost from Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (1.5 steals per game) and Aaron Gordon (0.8 blocks per game).

Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 12)
• Pick OU:

  Over (222.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Suns 115 – Nuggets 112

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