Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 9, 2023

The Oklahoma City Thunder (39-42) are slight favorites against the Memphis Grizzlies (51-30) on April 9, 2023 in a game projected to be a close one. Oklahoma City and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are a 1-point favorite against Ja Morant and Memphis. The game’s over/under is 229.5.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Odds

• Thunder odds to win: -119
• Grizzlies odds to win: -101
• Spread: Thunder (-1)
• Total: 229.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: BSOK and BSSE

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Grizzlies?

Thunder and Grizzlies Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Thunder are 15-14 against the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season.

In games this season in which they were an underdog by 1 point or more, the Grizzlies have a 5-12 record against the spread.

These two teams average a combined 234.6 points per game, 5.1 more points than the total of 229.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.1 more points per game (229.6) than this matchup’s over/under of 229.5 points.

The Thunder’s average point total in outings this season is 234.1, 4.6 points higher than the over/under in this game.

The average over/under in Memphis’ games this year is 0.6 more points than the point total of 229.5 for this outing.

Oklahoma City is 46-34-1 ATS this season.

The Grizzlies are 37-40-4 against the spread this year.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder average 117.5 points per game (fifth in the league) while allowing 116.6 per contest (19th in the NBA). They have a +74 scoring differential overall.

The Thunder grab 43.6 rebounds per game (12th in the league) while conceding 46.7 per outing to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 3.1 boards per game.

Oklahoma City connects on 12.1 three-pointers per game (14th in the league), while its opponents have made 13 on average.

The Thunder average 112.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (15th in the league), and allow 111.6 points per 100 possessions (14th in the NBA).

The Thunder have scored at a much higher rate when playing at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (121 at home versus 114.1 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than in road games (116 opponent points per home game versus 117.1 on the road).

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies are outscoring opponents by 4.1 points per game, with a +338 scoring differential overall. They put up 117.1 points per game (sixth in NBA) and allow 113 per outing (12th in league).

The 46.7 rebounds per game Memphis accumulates rank second in the league, 2.4 more than the 44.3 its opponents record.

The Grizzlies connect on 12.1 three-pointers per game (14th in the league), while their opponents have made 13 on average.

The Grizzlies rank 13th in the NBA with 112.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and second defensively with 108.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Memphis scores 119.8 points per game at home, and 114.4 away.

Thunder Key Players to Watch

Josh Giddey has a statline of 16.6 points, 7.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game.

This season, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.4 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game.

The Thunder get 2.2 three-pointers per game out of Isaiah Joe.

Gilgeous-Alexander racks up 1.6 steals and swats one shot per game.

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

The Grizzlies go-to guy, Morant, leads active Grizzlies players in both scoring (26.2 points per game) and assists (8.1 assists per game).

Jaren Jackson Jr.’s per-game averages this season are 18.6 points, one assist and 6.7 rebounds.

Desmond Bane hits 2.9 threes per game.

The Grizzlies’ defensive effort gets a boost from Tyus Jones’ one steal and Jackson’s three blocks per game.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction

• Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 1)
• Pick OU:

  Over (229.5)
  

• Prediction: –
  Grizzlies 117 – Thunder 116

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