Heat vs. Hawks NBA Play-In Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (44-38) will look to fend off Trae Young’s Atlanta Hawks (41-41) on April 11, 2023. The Heat are a 5-point favorite. The game’s point total is 227.5.

Heat vs. Hawks Odds

• Heat odds to win: -222
• Hawks odds to win: +183
• Spread: Heat (-5)
• Total: 227.5

Heat vs. Hawks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, April 11, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Heat vs. Hawks?

Heat and Hawks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 5-point favorites this season, the Heat are 5-17-1 against the spread.

The Hawks have a 7-4 record against the spread when an underdog by 5 points or more this season.

These teams average a combined 227.9 points per game, 0.4 more points than the total of 227.5 set for this matchup.

Miami and Atlanta have seen its opponents average a combined 0.4 more points per game than the point total of 227.5 set in this game.

The Heat’s average point total in matchups this season is 219.3, 8.2 points fewer than the total in this game.

The average over/under in Atlanta’s games this year is 9.1 more points than the point total of 227.5 in this outing.

Miami has a 30-48-4 record against the spread this season.

So far this year, the Hawks have put together a 35-45-2 record against the spread.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat average 109.5 points per game (30th in the league) while allowing 109.8 per outing (second in the NBA). They have a -26 scoring differential overall.

The Heat lose the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. They are collecting 40.6 rebounds per game (27th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 41.9 per outing.

Miami connects on 12.0 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), 1.1 fewer than its opponents (13.1). It is shooting 34.4% from deep (27th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.7%.

The Heat average 110.4 points per 100 possessions (25th in the league), while giving up 110.6 points per 100 possessions (ninth in the NBA).

The Heat have been better offensively at home, where they average 111.4 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 107.5 per game. Defensively, they are slightly worse at home, where they allow 110.2 points per game, versus road games, where they allow opponents to average 109.3 per game.

Hawks Stats & Insights

The Hawks put up 118.4 points per game (third in league) while giving up 118.1 per outing (25th in NBA). They have a +24 scoring differential.

Atlanta pulls down 44.4 rebounds per game (10th in league), compared to the 44.1 of its opponents.

The Hawks make 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) at a 35.2% rate (21st in NBA), compared to the 11.9 per outing their opponents make, shooting 35.6% from deep.

The Hawks’ 115.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank fifth in the NBA, and the 116.3 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 28th in the league.

In 2022-23 Atlanta is averaging 2.4 more points per game at home (119.6) than away (117.2).

Heat Key Players to Watch

The Heat get 20.4 points, 9.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists from Adebayo.

Jimmy Butler contributes with 5.9 boards and 5.3 assists per game in addition to his 22.9 PPG scoring average.

Tyler Herro leads active Heat in three-point shooting, making an average of 3.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Butler averages 1.8 takeaways per game, and Adebayo records 0.8 rejections per contest.

Hawks Key Players to Watch

Young’s showing this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 26.2 points per game and 10.2 assists per game to go with 3.0 rebounds per contest.

This season, Clint Capela has a statline that includes 12.0 points, 0.9 assists and 11.0 rebounds per game.

Young hits 2.1 threes per game.

The Hawks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Dejounte Murray’s 1.5 steals and Onyeka Okongwu’s 1.3 blocks per game.

Heat vs. Hawks Prediction

• Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (227.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Heat 116 – Hawks 112

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