Lakers vs. Timberwolves NBA Play-In Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 11, 2023

The Los Angeles Lakers (43-39) take the court as 8.5-point favorites against the Minnesota Timberwolves (42-40) on April 11, 2023. The over/under for the game is 233.

Lakers vs. Timberwolves Odds

• Lakers odds to win: -408
• Timberwolves odds to win: +317
• Spread: Lakers (-8.5)
• Total: 233

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Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, April 11, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Lakers vs. Timberwolves?

Lakers and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Lakers are 2-2 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.

The Timberwolves have a 2-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.

The two teams combine to average 233 points per game, which equals this game’s over/under.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.6 fewer points per game (232.4) than this matchup’s total of 233 points.

The average over/under the Lakers have had set in games this year is 0.8 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average total for Minnesota’s games this season is 1.4 fewer points than the point total of 233 in this outing.

Los Angeles is 40-39-3 against the spread this season.

So far this year, the Timberwolves have put together a 39-41-2 record against the spread.

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers score 117.2 points per game (sixth in the NBA) and allow 116.6 (20th in the league) for a +47 scoring differential overall.

The Lakers pull down 45.7 rebounds per game (sixth in the league) compared to the 44.9 of their opponents.

Los Angeles hits 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), 1.7 fewer than its opponents (12.5).

The Lakers put up 111.8 points per 100 possessions (19th in the league), while giving up 111.5 points per 100 possessions (14th in the NBA).

In the 2022-23 campaign, the Lakers score 0.3 fewer points per home game on average than on the road (117 at home, 117.3 on the road), and are also conceding 5.6 fewer points per home game compared to road games (113.8 at home, 119.4 on the road).

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves score 115.8 points per game (12th in NBA) and give up 115.8 (18th in league) for a -3 scoring differential overall.

Minnesota records 41.9 rebounds per game (23rd in league) while allowing 44.7 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.8 boards per game.

The Timberwolves make 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.3. They shoot 36.5% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.9%.

The Timberwolves score 111.3 points per 100 possessions (23rd in league), while giving up 111.1 points per 100 possessions (10th in NBA).

Minnesota scores 115.9 points per game at home, and 115.6 away.

Lakers Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Lakers this season is LeBron James (among active players), who averages 28.9 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 6.8 assists per game.

D’Angelo Russell is averaging 17.8 points, 6.2 assists and three rebounds a game, while Anthony Davis adds 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per matchup.

Malik Beasley makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Lakers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.

Jarred Vanderbilt averages 1.1 takeaways per game, while Davis compiles two rejections per contest.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Anthony Edwards holds the top Timberwolves spot in two categories among active players: scoring (24.6 points per game) and rebounding (5.8 rebounds per game). He also has 4.4 assists per contest.

Mike Conley has per-game averages of 11.9 points, 6.7 assists and 2.7 rebounds this season.

Edwards hits 2.7 treys per game.

The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts get a boost from Edwards (1.6 steals per game) and Kyle Anderson (0.9 blocks per game).

Lakers vs. Timberwolves Prediction

• Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 8.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (233)
  

• Prediction:
  Lakers 119 – Timberwolves 114

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