Kings vs. Warriors NBA Playoffs Game 1 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 15, 2023

Jordan Poole’s Golden State Warriors (44-38) are only 1-point underdogs in Saturday’s game against De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (48-34). The matchup has a point total of 237.5.

Kings vs. Warriors Odds

• Kings odds to win: -113
• Warriors odds to win: -106
• Spread: Kings (-1)
• Total: 237.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
• TV: ABC

Who Will Win Kings vs. Warriors?

Kings and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 1 point or more, the Kings have a 27-24-1 record against the spread.

In games they have played as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Warriors are 10-15 against the spread.

These teams average 239.6 points per game combined, 2.1 more than the over/under of 237.5.

Sacramento and Golden State have seen its opponents average a combined 2.3 fewer points per game than the point total of 237.5 set in this outing.

The average over/under the Kings have had set in games this season is 1.3 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for Golden State this year is 1.4 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Sacramento is 45-36-1 ATS this season.

The Warriors are 39-42-1 ATS this year.

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings outscore opponents by 2.6 points per game (scoring 120.7 points per game to rank first in the league while allowing 118.1 per contest to rank 25th in the NBA) and have a +217 scoring differential overall.

The Kings rank 20th in the league at 42.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.2 their opponents average.

Sacramento connects on 1.3 more threes per game than the opposition, 13.8 (fifth-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.5.

The Kings’ 117.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in the NBA, and the 114.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 23rd in the league.

The Kings have been much better offensively at home, where they score 123.4 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 118.0 per game. Defensively, they are worse when playing at home, where they surrender 120.1 points per game, versus on the road, where they let opponents to score 116.0 per game.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors’ +148 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 118.9 points per game (second in NBA) while giving up 117.1 per contest (21st in league).

Golden State is eighth in the league at 44.6 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 more than the 43.3 its opponents average.

The Warriors connect on 3.7 more threes per game than the opposition, 16.6 (first in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.9.

The Warriors average 113.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (11th in league), and concede 111.4 points per 100 possessions (11th in NBA).

Golden State is scoring more points at home (119.7 per game) than on the road (118.2).

Kings Key Players to Watch

The Kings get 19.1 points, 12.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists from Domantas Sabonis.

This season, Fox is averaging 25.0 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.

The Kings get 2.6 three-pointers per game out of Keegan Murray.

Fox picks pockets to the tune of 1.1 takeaways per game, and Murray compiles 0.5 rejections per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Poole tallies 20.4 points per game. He also contributes 2.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game this season.

This season, Kevon Looney is averaging 7.0 points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson hits 4.4 threes per game.

The Warriors’ defensive efforts get a lift from Donte DiVincenzo (1.3 steals per game) and Draymond Green (0.8 blocks per game).

Kings vs. Warriors Prediction

• Pick ATS: Kings (- 1)
• Pick OU:

  Under (237.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Kings 120 – Warriors 117

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