Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Game 1 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 16, 2023

The Denver Nuggets (53-29) are 8-point favorites as they ready to play the Minnesota Timberwolves (42-40) on April 16, 2023. A point total of 224.5 has been set for the game.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -337
• Timberwolves odds to win: +266
• Spread: Nuggets (-8)
• Total: 224.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 10:30 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: TNT, BSN, and ALT

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?

Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets are 11-12-1 against the spread when favored by 8 points or more this season.

The Timberwolves are 2-3 against the spread when an underdog by 8 points or more this season.

The Nuggets and the Timberwolves combine to average 7.1 more points per game than the over/under of 224.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 228.3 points per game, 3.8 more than the point total for this game.

The Nuggets’ average point total in outings this season is 228.3, 3.8 points higher than the total in this game.

Minnesota’s games this year have averaged an over/under of 231.6 points, 7.1 more than the point total in this matchup.

Denver is 44-36-2 against the spread this season.

The Timberwolves are 39-41-2 ATS this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game with a +273 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.8 points per game (12th in the NBA) and allow 112.5 per outing (eighth in the league).

The 43.0 rebounds per game the Nuggets average rank 18th in the NBA, and are 2.2 more than the 40.8 their opponents collect per outing.

Denver connects on 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.4. It shoots 37.9% from deep while its opponents hit 34.4% from long range.

The Nuggets rank second in the NBA with 116.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 19th in the league defensively with 112.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Nuggets’ offense has been much better at home (119.4 PPG) compared to away games (112.2 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been much better at home (109.6 PPG allowed) compared to away games (115.3 PPG allowed).

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves have a -3 scoring differential, putting up 115.8 points per game (12th in league) and conceding 115.8 (18th in NBA).

The 41.9 rebounds per game Minnesota accumulates rank 23rd in the league, 2.8 fewer than the 44.7 its opponents grab.

The Timberwolves hit 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league), while their opponents have made 12.3 on average.

The Timberwolves rank 23rd in the NBA with 111.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 10th defensively with 111.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, Minnesota scores 115.9 points per game. On the road, it scores 115.6.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Nikola Jokic accumulates 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, with 9.8 assists.

The Nuggets get 3.0 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 takeaways per game, and Aaron Gordon records 0.8 rejections per contest.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Anthony Edwards scores 24.6 points per game and also tacks on 5.8 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest.

This season, Rudy Gobert has a statline that includes 13.4 points, 1.2 assists and 11.6 rebounds per game.

Edwards cashes in on 2.7 treys per game.

Edwards’ 1.6 steals and Gobert’s 1.4 blocks per game are vital to the Timberwolves’ defensive effort.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

• Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 8)
• Pick OU:

  Over (224.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 118 – Timberwolves 112

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