Warriors vs. Kings NBA Playoffs Game 2 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 17, 2023

De’Aaron Fox’s Sacramento Kings (48-34) will look to upset Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors when the Kings play the Warriors on April 17, 2023. Golden State is a 2.5-point favorite against Sacramento. A 239.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Warriors vs. Kings Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -136
• Kings odds to win: +115
• Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
• Total: 239.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, April 17, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
• TV: TNT, NBCS-CA, and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Kings?

Warriors and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Warriors have a 27-25-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.

In games this year in which they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more, the Kings have an 18-11 record against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 0.1 more points per game (239.6) than this matchup’s over/under of 239.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.3 fewer points per game (235.2) than this matchup’s total of 239.5 points.

The Warriors’ average point total in matchups this season is 236.1, 3.4 points less than the over/under in this game.

Sacramento’s games this season have averaged an over/under of 238.8 points, 0.7 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Golden State is 39-42-1 against the spread this season.

The Kings have a 45-36-1 record against the spread this year.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors average 118.9 points per game (second in the league) while allowing 117.1 per outing (21st in the NBA). They have a +148 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 1.8 points per game.

The Warriors rank eighth in the NBA at 44.6 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 more than the 43.3 their opponents average.

Golden State connects on 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.7 more than its opponents (12.9).

The Warriors rank 11th in the NBA with 113.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th in the league defensively with 111.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

So far in 2022-23, the Warriors’ offense has been better at home, where they score 119.7 points per game, compared to on the road, where they record 118.2 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been much better at home, where they give up 111.7 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to score 122.5 per game.

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings put up 120.7 points per game (first in league) while giving up 118.1 per outing (25th in NBA). They have a +217 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 2.6 points per game.

Sacramento records 42.4 rebounds per game (20th in league), compared to the 42.2 of its opponents.

The Kings hit 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) while shooting 36.9% from deep (ninth-best in NBA). They are making 1.3 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12.5 per game at 37.3%.

The Kings rank first in the NBA with 117 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd defensively with 114.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Sacramento averages 123.4 points per game at home, and 118 away.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Warriors this season is Poole (among active players), who averages 20.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game.

Kevon Looney adds seven points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per matchup. Draymond Green puts up 8.5 points, 6.8 assists and 7.2 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Warriors, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 4.4 per contest.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Kings Key Players to Watch

Domantas Sabonis racks up 12.3 rebounds per game, 7.3 assists per game, and 19.1 points per game.

Fox has per-game averages of 25 points, 6.1 assists and 4.2 rebounds this season.

Keegan Murray knocks down 2.6 threes per game.

The Kings’ defensive effort gets a boost from Fox (1.1 steals per game) and Murray (0.5 blocks per game).

Warriors vs. Kings Prediction

• Pick ATS: Kings (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (239.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Kings 121 – Warriors 117

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