Bucks vs. Heat NBA Playoffs Game 2 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 19, 2023

The Milwaukee Bucks (58-24) are 8-point favorites as they are set to face off against the Miami Heat (44-38) on April 19, 2023. The game has an over/under of 220.5.

Bucks vs. Heat Odds

• Bucks odds to win: -350
• Heat odds to win: +279
• Spread: Bucks (-8)
• Total: 220.5

Bucks vs. Heat Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, April 19, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: NBA TV, BSWI, and BSSUN

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Heat?

Bucks and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Bucks are 10-14 against the spread when favored by 8 points or more this season.

In games they have played as at least 8-point underdogs this season, the Heat are 1-1 against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 5.9 more points per game (226.4) than this game’s over/under of 220.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.6 more points per game (223.1) than this game’s over/under of 220.5 points.

The average total for Bucks games this year is 9.7 more points than the over/under of 220.5 in this game.

Miami’s games this year have averaged a total of 219.3 points, 1.2 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Milwaukee is 42-35-5 against the spread this season.

The Heat are 30-48-4 against the spread this year.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks have a +298 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.6 points per game. They’re putting up 116.9 points per game to rank eighth in the league and are giving up 113.3 per outing to rank 14th in the NBA.

The Bucks win the rebound battle by 4.4 boards on average. They record 48.6 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league, while their opponents grab 44.2 per contest.

Milwaukee makes 14.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league) at a 36.8% rate (10th in the NBA), compared to the 12.1 per game its opponents make at a 35.4% rate.

The Bucks put up 114.1 points per 100 possessions (ninth in the league), while allowing 109.4 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the NBA).

The Bucks have been better offensively at home, where they score 118.8 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 115 per game. Defensively, they are better when playing at home, where they concede 112.5 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to average 114.1 per game.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat put up 109.5 points per game (30th in league) while giving up 109.8 per outing (second in NBA). They have a -26 scoring differential.

Miami records 40.6 rebounds per game (27th in league) while conceding 41.9 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.3 boards per game.

The Heat make 12 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) while shooting 34.4% from deep (27th in NBA). They are making 1.1 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.1 per game at 36.7%.

The Heat rank 25th in the league averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are ninth, allowing 110.6 points per 100 possessions.

Miami is scoring more points at home (111.4 per game) than on the road (107.5).

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 31.1 points, 11.8 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game.

Jrue Holiday scores 19.3 points per game and adds 5.1 rebounds and 7.4 assists for the Bucks.

The Bucks get 2.4 three-pointers per game out of Holiday.

Holiday averages 1.2 steals per game, while Brook Lopez has 2.5 blocks per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo has been among the team’s best in both scoring (20.4 points per game) and rebounding (9.2 rebounds per game) while adding 3.2 assists per contest.

Jimmy Butler has per-game averages of 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds this season.

Max Strus hits 2.5 treys per game.

The Heat’s defensive efforts get a lift from Butler’s 1.8 steals and Adebayo’s 0.8 blocks per game.

Bucks vs. Heat Prediction

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 8)
• Pick OU:

  Over (220.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 116 – Heat 109

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