Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Game 2 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 19, 2023

Denver is an 8.5-point favorite against Minnesota when the Nikola Jokic-led Nuggets (53-29) and Anthony Edwards’ Timberwolves (42-40) square off on April 19, 2023. The matchup’s over/under is 222.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -363
• Timberwolves odds to win: +288
• Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
• Total: 222

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Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, April 19, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: TNT, ALT, and BSN

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?

Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets have a 10-12-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 8.5 points or more.

The Timberwolves have a 2-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.

Between them, these two teams average 9.6 more points per game (231.6) than this game’s over/under (222).

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 228.3 points per game, 6.3 more than the point total for this game.

The average total the Nuggets have had set in matchups this year is 6.3 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for Minnesota this year is 9.6 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Denver has gone 44-36-2 ATS this season.

The Timberwolves have gone 39-41-2 ATS this year.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets’ +273 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 115.8 points per game (12th in the NBA) while giving up 112.5 per outing (eighth in the league).

The Nuggets come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. They are pulling down 43.0 rebounds per game (18th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 40.8 per contest.

Denver connects on 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 37.9% rate (fourth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.4 its opponents make while shooting 34.4% from deep.

The Nuggets’ 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank second in the NBA, and the 112.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 19th in the league.

The Nuggets have scored at a much higher clip in home games than on the road in the 2022-23 season (119.4 at home versus 112.2 on the road), though they have given up fewer points at home than in road games (109.6 opponent points per home game versus 115.3 on the road).

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves have a -3 scoring differential, putting up 115.8 points per game (12th in league) and conceding 115.8 (18th in NBA).

The 41.9 rebounds per game Minnesota accumulates rank 23rd in the NBA, 2.8 fewer than the 44.7 its opponents record.

The Timberwolves make 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league), while their opponents have made 12.3 on average.

The Timberwolves record 111.3 points per 100 possessions (23rd in league), while conceding 111.1 points per 100 possessions (10th in NBA).

At home Minnesota is scoring 115.9 points per game, 0.3 more than it is averaging away (115.6).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic accumulates 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, with 9.8 assists.

Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 takeaways per game, and Aaron Gordon records 0.8 rejections per contest.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Edwards pours in 24.6 points per game. He also adds 5.8 rebounds per outing and 4.4 assists per contest.

Rudy Gobert has per-game averages of 13.4 points, 1.2 assists and 11.6 rebounds this season.

Edwards knocks down 2.7 threes per game.

The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts get a lift from Edwards (1.6 steals per game) and Gobert (1.4 blocks per game).

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

• Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 8.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (222)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 118 – Timberwolves 111

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