Warriors vs. Kings NBA Playoffs Game 3 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 20, 2023

Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors (44-38) will look to fend off De’Aaron Fox’s Sacramento Kings (48-34) on April 20, 2023. The Warriors are a 6-point favorite. A 240.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Warriors vs. Kings Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -249
• Kings odds to win: +205
• Spread: Warriors (-6)
• Total: 240.5

Warriors vs. Kings Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, April 20, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: TNT, NBCS-BA, and NBCS-CA

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Kings?

Warriors and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Warriors have a 15-13 record against the spread this season when favored by 6 points or more.

The Kings are 4-3 against the spread when an underdog by 6 points or more this year.

These teams average a combined 239.6 points per game, 0.9 fewer points than the total of 240.5 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.3 fewer points per game (235.2) than this game’s total of 240.5 points.

The Warriors’ average point total in matchups this year is 236.1, 4.4 points less than the total in this game.

The average point total for Sacramento this year is 1.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 39-42-1 record against the spread.

The Kings’ ATS record is 45-36-1 this season.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors outscore opponents by 1.8 points per game (scoring 118.9 points per game to rank second in the league while giving up 117.1 per contest to rank 21st in the NBA) and have a +148 scoring differential overall.

The Warriors come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. They are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game (eighth in the league) compared to their opponents’ 43.3 per contest.

Golden State hits 3.7 more threes per contest than the opposition, 16.6 (first in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.9.

The Warriors’ 113.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in the NBA, and the 111.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 11th in the league.

The Warriors’ offense has been much better when playing at home (119.7 PPG) compared to away games (118.2 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been much better in home games (111.7 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (122.5 PPG allowed).

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings’ +217 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 2.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 120.7 points per game (first in NBA) while allowing 118.1 per outing (25th in league).

The 42.4 rebounds per game Sacramento accumulates rank 20th in the league. Their opponents grab 42.2.

The Kings make 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league), 1.3 more than their opponents. They are shooting 36.9% from deep (ninth-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 37.3%.

The Kings rank first in the NBA with 117 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd defensively with 114.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Sacramento is averaging 5.4 more points per game at home (123.4) than on the road (118).

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The active leader in points and assists for the Warriors this season is Poole, who scores 20.4 points and dishes out 4.5 assists per game.

Kevon Looney’s averages this season are 7 points, 9.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game.

Klay Thompson leads active Warriors in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 4.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Looney has 0.6 blocks per contest.

Kings Key Players to Watch

Domantas Sabonis averages 12.3 rebounds per game, 7.3 assists per game, and 19.1 points per game.

Fox has per-game averages of 25 points, 6.1 assists and 4.2 rebounds this season.

Keegan Murray makes 2.6 treys per game.

The Kings’ defensive effort gets a boost from Fox’s 1.1 steals and Murray’s 0.5 blocks per game.

Warriors vs. Kings Prediction

• Pick ATS: Kings (+ 6)
• Pick OU:

  Under (240.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Warriors 120 – Kings 118

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