Warriors vs. Kings NBA Playoffs Game 4 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 23, 2023

Golden State is a 7.5-point favorite against Sacramento when the Jordan Poole-led Warriors (44-38) and De’Aaron Fox’s Kings (48-34) square off on April 23, 2023. The game’s point total is 237.

Warriors vs. Kings Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -358
• Kings odds to win: +268
• Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
• Total: 237

Warriors vs. Kings Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ABC

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Kings?

Warriors and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 7.5 points or more, the Warriors have a 13-11 record against the spread.

When they have played as at least 7.5-point underdogs this season, the Kings are 2-2 against the spread.

The Warriors and Kings average 2.6 more points between them than the total of 237 for this game.

Golden State and Sacramento have seen its opponents average a combined 1.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 237 set for this outing.

The average point total for Warriors games this season is 0.9 fewer points than the over/under of 237 in this matchup.

The average point total for Sacramento this season is 1.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Golden State is 39-42-1 against the spread this season.

The Kings have gone 45-36-1 ATS this year.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors average 118.9 points per game (second in the league) while giving up 117.1 per contest (21st in the NBA). They have a +148 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 1.8 points per game.

The 44.6 rebounds per game the Warriors average rank eighth in the league, and are 1.3 more than the 43.3 their opponents collect per outing.

Golden State knocks down 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.7 more than its opponents (12.9).

The Warriors’ 113.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in the NBA, and the 111.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 11th in the league.

The Warriors have scored at a higher rate when playing at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (119.7 at home versus 118.2 on the road), though they have given up fewer points at home than in road games (111.7 opponent points per home game versus 122.5 on the road).

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings have a +217 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.6 points per game. They’re putting up 120.7 points per game, first in the league, and are giving up 118.1 per contest to rank 25th in the NBA.

The 42.4 rebounds per game Sacramento accumulates rank 20th in the NBA. Their opponents record 42.2.

The Kings make 1.3 more threes per game than the opposition, 13.8 (fifth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.5.

The Kings rank first in the league averaging 117 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 23rd, allowing 114.1 points per 100 possessions.

At home, Sacramento averages 123.4 points per game. Away, it scores 118.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Warriors this season is Poole (among active players), who averages 20.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game.

Draymond Green contributes with 8.5 points, 6.8 assists and 7.2 rebounds a game, and Kevon Looney adds seven points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per outing.

The Warriors get 4.4 three-pointers per game out of Klay Thompson.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Kings Key Players to Watch

Domantas Sabonis has a top spot on the Kings rebounds and assists leaderboards, scoring 19.1 points a contest with 12.3 rebounds per game and 7.3 assists per game.

Fox’s per-game averages this season are 25 points, 6.1 assists and 4.2 rebounds.

Keegan Murray cashes in on 2.6 treys per game.

The Kings’ defensive efforts get a lift from Fox’s 1.1 steals and Murray’s 0.5 blocks per game.

Warriors vs. Kings Prediction

• Pick ATS: Kings (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (237)
  

• Prediction:
  Warriors 120 – Kings 117

How to Bet on Warriors vs. Kings

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.