Celtics vs. Hawks NBA Playoffs Game 4 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 23, 2023

Boston is a 7.5-point favorite against Atlanta when the Jayson Tatum-led Celtics (57-25) and Trae Young’s Hawks (41-41) meet on April 23, 2023. The game’s over/under is 231.

Celtics vs. Hawks Odds

• Celtics odds to win: -302
• Hawks odds to win: +241
• Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
• Total: 231

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: TNT, BSSE, and NBCS-BOS

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Hawks?

Celtics and Hawks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Celtics are 18-18-1 against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.

In games this season in which they were an underdog by 7.5 points or more, the Hawks have a 3-2 record against the spread.

These teams average 236.3 points per game combined, 5.3 more than the over/under of 231.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 229.5 points per game, 1.5 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.

The average point total in Celtics games this year is 1.6 fewer points than the over/under of 231 in this matchup.

The average over/under for Atlanta’s games this season is 5.6 more points than the point total of 231 for this outing.

So far this season, Boston has compiled a 44-35-3 record against the spread.

The Hawks are 35-45-2 ATS this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics have a +535 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.5 points per game. They’re putting up 117.9 points per game to rank fourth in the league and are giving up 111.4 per contest to rank fourth in the NBA.

The Celtics win the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. They collect 45.3 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the league, while their opponents pull down 44 per contest.

Boston makes 16 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league) while shooting 37.6% from beyond the arc (sixth-best in the NBA). It is making 4.4 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 11.6 per game while shooting 34.5%.

The Celtics put up 115.7 points per 100 possessions (third in the league), while giving up 108.8 points per 100 possessions (third in the NBA).

So far in 2022-23, the Celtics’ offense has been much better at home, where they score 120.5 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 115.4 per game. On defense, they have been better when playing at home, where they concede 110.5 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let opponents to score 112.4 per game.

Hawks Stats & Insights

The Hawks put up 118.4 points per game (third in league) while giving up 118.1 per contest (25th in NBA). They have a +24 scoring differential.

Atlanta ranks 10th in the league at 44.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.1 its opponents average.

The Hawks connect on 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) at a 35.2% rate (21st in NBA), compared to the 11.9 per contest their opponents make, shooting 35.6% from deep.

The Hawks rank fifth in the league averaging 115.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 28th, allowing 116.3 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Atlanta is scoring 2.4 more points per game at home (119.6) than on the road (117.2).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Tatum averages 30.1 points and 8.8 rebounds per game, with 4.6 assists.

Marcus Smart scores 11.5 points per game while adding 3.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists for the Celtics.

The Celtics get 3.2 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Smart averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while Derrick White records 0.9 rejections per contest.

Hawks Key Players to Watch

The Hawks go-to guy, Young, leads active Hawks players in both scoring (26.2 points per game) and assists (10.2 assists per game).

Clint Capela has per-game averages of 12 points, 0.9 assists and 11 rebounds this season.

Young cashes in on 2.1 treys per game.

Dejounte Murray’s 1.5 steals and Onyeka Okongwu’s 1.3 blocks per game are important to the Hawks’ defensive production.

Celtics vs. Hawks Prediction

• Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (231)
  

• Prediction:
  Celtics 118 – Hawks 114

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