Knicks vs. Cavaliers NBA Playoffs Game 4 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 23, 2023
Donovan Mitchell’s Cleveland Cavaliers (51-31) are only 1.5-point underdogs in Sunday’s matchup with Julius Randle and the New York Knicks (47-35). The matchup’s point total is 203.
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Odds
- Knicks odds to win: -130
- Cavaliers odds to win: +110
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
- Total: 203
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Game Time and Information
- When: Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
- Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
- TV: ABC
Who Will Win Knicks vs. Cavaliers?
Knicks and Cavaliers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games they have played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Knicks are 20-17 against the spread.
The Cavaliers have a 7-9 record against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 25.3 more points per game, 228.3, than this matchup’s total of 203 points.
New York and Cleveland have seen its opponents average a combined 17 more points per game than the over/under of 203 set in this outing.
The average total for Knicks games this season is 26.1 more points than the over/under of 203 in this game.
The average over/under in Cleveland’s games this year is 16.1 more points than the point total of 203 in this outing.
New York has gone 45-35-2 ATS this season.
The Cavaliers have a 43-38-1 record against the spread this season.
Knicks Stats & Insights
The Knicks have a +240 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.9 points per game. They’re putting up 116 points per game to rank 11th in the league and are giving up 113.1 per contest to rank 12th in the NBA.
The Knicks rank second in the NBA at 46.6 rebounds per game. That’s 4.6 more than the 42 their opponents average.
New York hits 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th in the league) at a 35.4% rate (19th in the NBA), compared to the 13 its opponents make while shooting 35.7% from deep.
The Knicks rank sixth in the NBA with 114.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 16th in the league defensively with 111.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
During the 2022-23 campaign, the Knicks score 2.5 more points per home game on average than on the road (117.3 at home, 114.8 on the road), but are allowing 0.2 fewer points per home game compared to road games (113 at home, 113.2 on the road).
Cavaliers Stats & Insights
The Cavaliers are outscoring opponents by 5.4 points per game, with a +441 scoring differential overall. They put up 112.3 points per game (25th in NBA) and give up 106.9 per outing (first in league).
The 41.1 rebounds per game Cleveland accumulates rank 25th in the league. Their opponents grab 41.2.
The Cavaliers connect on 11.6 three-pointers per game (19th in the league) at a 36.7% rate (11th in NBA), compared to the 11.3 their opponents make, shooting 36.8% from deep.
The Cavaliers’ 113.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 10th in the NBA, and the 107.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank first in the league.
Cleveland averages 113.2 points per game at home, and 111.3 on the road.
Knicks Key Players to Watch
Randle averages 25.1 points, 10 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game.
Jalen Brunson contributes 24 points per game while adding 3.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists for the Knicks.
The Knicks get 2.8 three-pointers per game out of Randle.
Josh Hart picks pockets to the tune of 1.2 takeaways per game, and Mitchell Robinson collects 1.8 rejections per contest.
Cavaliers Key Players to Watch
Mitchell scores 28.3 points per game and also tacks on 4.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest.
This season, Evan Mobley is averaging 16.2 points, 2.8 assists and nine rebounds per game.
Mitchell hits 3.6 threes per game.
Mitchell’s 1.5 steals and Mobley’s 1.5 blocks per game are key to the Cavaliers’ defensive production.
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Prediction
- Pick ATS: Knicks (- 1.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (203)
- Prediction:
Knicks 113 – Cavaliers 110
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