Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Game 4 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 23, 2023

Anthony Edwards’ Minnesota Timberwolves (42-40) will try to upset Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets when the Timberwolves play the Nuggets on April 23, 2023. Denver is a 4-point favorite against Minnesota. A point total of 223 has been set for the game.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -181
• Timberwolves odds to win: +154
• Spread: Nuggets (-4)
• Total: 223

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 9:30 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: TNT, BSN, and ALT

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?

Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets are 27-21-1 against the spread when favored by 4 points or more this season.

The Timberwolves are 15-10 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this year.

Between them, these two teams average 8.6 more points per game (231.6) than this matchup’s total (223).

Denver and Minnesota have seen its opponents average a combined 5.3 more points per game than the point total of 223 set for this game.

The Nuggets’ average point total in outings this year is 228.3, 5.3 points higher than the total in this game.

Minnesota’s games this year have averaged an over/under of 231.6 points, 8.6 more than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, Denver has put together a 44-36-2 record against the spread.

The Timberwolves are 39-41-2 against the spread this year.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets outscore opponents by 3.3 points per game (scoring 115.8 points per game to rank 12th in the league while giving up 112.5 per contest to rank eighth in the NBA) and have a +273 scoring differential overall.

The 43 rebounds per game the Nuggets average rank 18th in the league, and are 2.2 more than the 40.8 their opponents collect per contest.

Denver makes 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.4 on average.

The Nuggets score 116.3 points per 100 possessions (second in the league), while allowing 112.9 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).

So far in 2022-23, the Nuggets’ offense has been significantly better at home, where they score 119.4 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 112.2 per game. Defensively, they have been much tougher when playing at home, where they allow 109.6 points per game, versus road games, where they allow opponents to average 115.3 per game.

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves have a -3 scoring differential, putting up 115.8 points per game (12th in league) and allowing 115.8 (18th in NBA).

The 41.9 rebounds per game Minnesota accumulates rank 23rd in the NBA, 2.8 fewer than the 44.7 its opponents pull down.

The Timberwolves make 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.3. They shoot 36.5% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.9%.

The Timberwolves average 111.3 points per 100 possessions (23rd in league), while conceding 111.1 points per 100 possessions (10th in NBA).

In 2022-23 Minnesota is averaging 0.3 more points per game at home (115.9) than on the road (115.6).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic puts up 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.

The Nuggets get three three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope picks pockets to the tune of 1.5 takeaways per game, while Aaron Gordon records 0.8 rejections per contest.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Edwards racks up 24.6 points per game and also tacks on 5.8 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest.

This season, Rudy Gobert has a statline that includes 13.4 points, 1.2 assists and 11.6 rebounds per game.

Edwards makes 2.7 treys per game.

The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts get a lift from Edwards’ 1.6 steals and Gobert’s 1.4 blocks per game.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

• Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 4)
• Pick OU:

  Over (223)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 115 – Timberwolves 114

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