Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Game 5 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 25, 2023

Denver is a 10-point favorite against Minnesota when the Nikola Jokic-led Nuggets (53-29) and Anthony Edwards’ Timberwolves (42-40) meet on April 25, 2023. The game’s over/under is 220.5.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -487
• Timberwolves odds to win: +371
• Spread: Nuggets (-10)
• Total: 220.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, April 25, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: NBA TV, ALT, and BSNX

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?

Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 10 points or more, the Nuggets have a 9-6-1 record against the spread.

The Timberwolves are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 10 points or greater this year.

These two teams average 231.6 points per game combined, 11.1 more than the over/under of 220.5.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.8 more points per game (228.3) than this game’s over/under of 220.5 points.

The average point total for Nuggets games this year is 7.8 more points than the total of 220.5 in this matchup.

The average total for Minnesota’s games this season is 11.1 more points than the point total of 220.5 for this outing.

So far this season, Denver has put together a 44-36-2 record against the spread.

The Timberwolves are 39-41-2 ATS this year.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game with a +273 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.8 points per game (12th in the NBA) and give up 112.5 per outing (eighth in the league).

The Nuggets come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. They are grabbing 43.0 rebounds per game (18th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 40.8 per contest.

Denver connects on 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.4 on average.

The Nuggets rank second in the league by averaging 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 19th in the NBA, allowing 112.9 points per 100 possessions.

The Nuggets have been much better offensively at home, where they score 119.4 points per game, compared to on the road, where they score 112.2 per game. Defensively, they are much better when playing at home, where they allow 109.6 points per game, versus road games, where they allow opponents to average 115.3 per game.

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves score 115.8 points per game (12th in NBA) and allow 115.8 (18th in league) for a -3 scoring differential overall.

Minnesota records 41.9 rebounds per game (23rd in league) while allowing 44.7 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.8 boards per game.

The Timberwolves make 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) at a 36.5% rate (13th in NBA), compared to the 12.3 their opponents make, shooting 36.9% from deep.

The Timberwolves’ 111.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 23rd in the NBA, and the 111.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 10th in the league.

At home Minnesota is putting up 115.9 points per game, 0.3 more than it is averaging away (115.6).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic averages 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.

The Nuggets get 3.0 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope picks up 1.5 takeaways per game, while Aaron Gordon compiles 0.8 rejections per contest.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Edwards scores 24.6 points per game. He also adds 5.8 rebounds per outing and 4.4 assists per contest.

Rudy Gobert has per-game averages of 13.4 points, 1.2 assists and 11.6 rebounds this season.

Edwards averages 2.7 made threes per game.

The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts get a lift from Edwards’ 1.6 steals and Gobert’s 1.4 blocks per game.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

• Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 10)
• Pick OU:

  Over (220.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 118 – Timberwolves 111

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