Bucks vs. Heat NBA Playoffs Game 5 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 26, 2023

The Milwaukee Bucks (58-24) enter their matchup against the Miami Heat (44-38) on April 26, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Milwaukee is favored by 12 points. The game’s over/under is 220.

Bucks vs. Heat Odds

  • Bucks odds to win: -656
  • Heat odds to win: +474
  • Spread: Bucks (-12)
  • Total: 220
  • Bucks vs. Heat Promo Codes

    [bet-bonus id=”352841″ ]

    Game Time and Information

  • When: Wednesday, April 26, 2023 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • TV: NBA TV, BSWI, and BSSUN
  • Who Will Win Bucks vs. Heat?

    Bucks and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    In games they have played as at least 12-point favorites this season, the Bucks are 2-6 against the spread.

    Between them, these two teams average 6.4 more points per game (226.4) than this game’s over/under (220).

    Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.1 more points per game (223.1) than this game’s total of 220 points.

    The average over/under the Bucks have had set in games this season is 10.2 more points than this outing’s point total.

    The average point total for Miami this season is 0.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

    Milwaukee’s ATS record is 42-35-5 this season.

    The Heat have a 30-48-4 record against the spread this year.

    Bucks Stats & Insights

    The Bucks average 116.9 points per game (eighth in the league) while giving up 113.3 per contest (14th in the NBA). They have a +298 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 3.6 points per game.

    The Bucks win the rebound battle by 4.4 boards on average. They collect 48.6 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league, while their opponents pull down 44.2 per contest.

    Milwaukee makes 14.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league) while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc (10th in the NBA). It is making 2.7 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 12.1 per game while shooting 35.4%.

    The Bucks rank ninth in the league by averaging 114.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are fourth in the NBA, allowing 109.4 points per 100 possessions.

    So far in 2022-23, the Bucks’ offense has been better at home, where they score 118.8 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 115.0 per game. On defense, they have been tougher in home games, where they allow 112.5 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to score 114.1 per game.

    Heat Stats & Insights

    The Heat score 109.5 points per game (30th in NBA) and concede 109.8 (second in league) for a -26 scoring differential overall.

    Miami ranks 27th in the NBA at 40.6 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 fewer than the 41.9 its opponents average.

    The Heat make 12.0 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) at a 34.4% rate (27th in NBA), compared to the 13.1 per contest their opponents make, shooting 36.7% from beyond the arc.

    The Heat average 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (25th in league), and allow 110.6 points per 100 possessions (ninth in NBA).

    Miami averages 111.4 points per game at home, and 107.5 away.

    Bucks Key Players to Watch

    Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 31.1 points, 11.8 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game.

    Jrue Holiday contributes with 5.1 boards and 7.4 assists per game in addition to his 19.3 PPG scoring average.

    Holiday makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Bucks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.

    Holiday averages 1.2 steals per game, while Brook Lopez has 2.5 blocks per contest.

    Heat Key Players to Watch

    Bam Adebayo is at the top of the Heat scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.4 points per game and 9.2 rebounds per game to go with 3.2 assists per contest this season.

    Jimmy Butler’s per-game averages this season are 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds.

    Max Strus knocks down 2.5 threes per game.

    The Heat’s defensive effort gets a lift from Butler (1.8 steals per game) and Adebayo (0.8 blocks per game).

    Bucks vs. Heat Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 12)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (220)

  • Prediction:
    Bucks 116 – Heat 109
  • [bet-bonus id=”352841″ ]

    How to Bet on Bucks vs. Heat

    Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

    If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.

    written by

    Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.

    more nba-picks news

    Heat vs. Trail Blazers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The Portland Trail Blazers (19-54) are heavy underdogs (+14.5) as they attempt to break an eight-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (39-33) at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, March 29, 2024 at FTX Arena. The matchup airs...

    Cavaliers vs. 76ers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The Cleveland Cavaliers (44-29) take the court against the Philadelphia 76ers (39-34) as 7.5-point favorites on Friday, March 29, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET on NBCS. The matchup has an over/under of 210 points.Cavaliers vs. 76ers OddsCavaliers odds to win:...

    Knicks vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The New York Knicks (44-28) are heavily favored (-10) to continue a three-game winning streak when they visit the San Antonio Spurs (17-56) at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, March 29, 2024 at AT&T Center. The contest airs on BSSW....

    Wizards vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The Detroit Pistons (12-61) are 2.5-point underdogs as they attempt to turn around an eight-game losing streak when they visit the Washington Wizards (14-59) on Friday, March 29, 2024 at Capital One Arena. The matchup airs at 7:00 PM ET...

    Pacers vs. Lakers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The Los Angeles Lakers (41-32) will attempt to extend a five-game winning streak when they hit the road to play the Indiana Pacers (41-33) on Friday, March 29, 2024 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse as just 2.5-point underdogs. The game airs at...

    Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The Western's top two teams, the Denver Nuggets (51-22) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22), hit the court at Ball Arena on Friday, March 29, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET on ALT. The Nuggets are favored by 6.5 points at home....

    Warriors vs. Hornets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The Golden State Warriors (38-34) play the Charlotte Hornets (18-54) as double-digit, 11.5-point favorites on Friday, March 29, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET on NBCS. The over/under is set at 218 in the matchup.Warriors vs. Hornets OddsWarriors odds to win:...

    Clippers vs. Magic Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The Los Angeles Clippers (45-27) visit the Orlando Magic (42-30) after winning three road games in a row. The Clippers are favored by only 1 point in the contest, which starts at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, March 29, 2024....

    Bulls vs. Nets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    The Chicago Bulls (35-38) are favored by 5.5 points against the Brooklyn Nets (28-45) on Friday, March 29, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET. The matchup airs on NBCS. The matchup's over/under is 215.Bulls vs. Nets OddsBulls odds to win: -218Nets...

    Kings vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

    Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (43-29) are 1.5-point underdogs against De'Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (42-30) Friday, March 29, 2024 at Golden 1 Center. The matchup begins at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS. The over/under for the matchup...

    Latest News

    Diamondbacks vs. Rockies: Start Time, Streaming Live, TV Channel, How to Watch

    In their season opener on Friday, Corbin Carroll and the Arizona Diamondbacks take on Nolan Jones and the Colorado Rockies, with first pitch scheduled for 9:40 PM ET at Chase Field.Keep reading to find out how to watch the Arizona-Colorado...

    Guardians vs. Athletics: Start Time, Streaming Live, TV Channel, How to Watch

    Logan Allen will take the mound for the Cleveland Guardians when they square off against starter Ross Stripling and the Oakland Athletics in their season opener on Friday, with first pitch at 9:40 PM ET.Find out how to watch the...

    How to Watch Mariners vs. Red Sox: Live Stream or on TV

    In their season opener on Friday, Julio Rodriguez and the Seattle Mariners play Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox, with first pitch scheduled for 9:40 PM ET at T-Mobile Park.Keep reading to see how to watch the Seattle-Boston matchup...

    Padres vs. Giants: Start Time, Streaming Live, TV Channel, How to Watch

    The San Francisco Giants (0-1), led by Jorge Soler, visit Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres (2-1) at 9:40 PM ET on Friday.If you're intending to watch this game, keep reading for streaming and TV options for the...

    How to Watch Dodgers vs. Cardinals: Live Stream or on TV

    The St. Louis Cardinals (0-1), led by Paul Goldschmidt, visit Mookie Betts and the Los Angeles Dodgers (2-1) at 10:10 PM ET on Friday.The article below will give you everything you need to watch Los Angeles take on St. Louis.When...

    OMG: Michael Busch Scored the 9th Inning, GO-AHEAD Run, Because He Just Never Stopped Running

    That was absolutely incredible. To all the little kids out there, when your coach tells you to never stop running, this is why. Rookie Cubs 1B Michael Busch (the guy the Cubs got from the Dodgers this offseason to be...

    Astros vs. Yankees: Start Time, Streaming Live, TV Channel, How to Watch

    On Friday, the New York Yankees (1-0) play Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros (0-1), with first pitch scheduled for 8:10 PM ET at Minute Maid Park.The article below will provide you with everything you need to know to watch...

    Rays vs. Blue Jays: Start Time, Streaming Live, TV Channel, How to Watch

    At Tropicana Field on Friday, Aaron Civale versus Chris Bassitt will be the pitching matchup when the Tampa Bay Rays (0-1) play the Toronto Blue Jays (1-0), starting at 6:50 PM ET.If you're intending to watch this game, keep reading...

    Enhanced Box Score: Rangers 4, Cubs 3 – March 28, 2024

    It took exactly one day for the Cubs' ace to sustain what may be a significant injury, for their closer to blow a save, for the umpires to significantly impact the outcome of a critical play (this time in the...

    Justin Steele Injury Update: New Classification, MRI Tomorrow, IL Stint Coming? Steele and Counsell Speak

    A significant update on Justin Steele came from Craig Counsell tonight after the Cubs extra innings loss in Texas. In short: Yes, a stint on the Injured List is likely for Justin Steele. But we still don't know how severe...

    more nba-picks news