Grizzlies vs. Lakers NBA Playoffs Game 5 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 26, 2023

LeBron James’ Los Angeles Lakers (43-39) will look to secure an upset of Ja Morant and the Memphis Grizzlies (51-31) on April 26, 2023. The Grizzlies are a 4.5-point favorite. The matchup’s over/under is 222.5.

Grizzlies vs. Lakers Odds

• Grizzlies odds to win: -182
• Lakers odds to win: +154
• Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
• Total: 222.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, April 26, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
• TV: TNT, BSSE, and SportsNet LA

Who Will Win Grizzlies vs. Lakers?

Grizzlies and Lakers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Grizzlies are 20-18-3 against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.

The Lakers are 12-18-1 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 11.6 more points per game, 234.1, than this matchup’s over/under of 222.5 points.

Memphis and Los Angeles have seen its opponents average a combined 7.1 more points per game than the point total of 222.5 set for this outing.

The average total in Grizzlies games this season is 7.4 more points than the total of 222.5 in this game.

Los Angeles’ games this year have averaged an over/under of 233.8 points, 11.3 more than the point total in this matchup.

Memphis’ ATS record is 37-41-4 this season.

The Lakers are 40-39-3 against the spread this season.

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies have a +323 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.9 points per game. They’re putting up 116.9 points per game to rank eighth in the league and are allowing 113.0 per outing to rank 11th in the NBA.

The Grizzlies record 46.6 rebounds per game (second in the league) while allowing 44.4 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.2 boards per game.

Memphis hits 12.0 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) at a 35.1% rate (22nd in the NBA), compared to the 13.0 its opponents make while shooting 35.5% from beyond the arc.

The Grizzlies average 112.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (14th in the league), and give up 108.3 points per 100 possessions (second in the NBA).

The Grizzlies’ offense has been much better in home games (119.8 PPG) compared to their play on the road (114.0 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been much better when playing at home (109.2 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (116.8 PPG allowed).

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers score 117.2 points per game (sixth in NBA) and concede 116.6 (20th in league) for a +47 scoring differential overall.

The 45.7 rebounds per game Los Angeles accumulates rank sixth in the NBA. Their opponents pull down 44.9.

The Lakers connect on 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), 1.7 fewer than their opponents.

The Lakers rank 19th in the league averaging 111.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 14th, allowing 111.5 points per 100 possessions.

At home Los Angeles is scoring 117.0 points per game, 0.3 fewer points than it is averaging away (117.3).

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

Morant leads active Grizzlies’ players in points and assists per game, scoring 26.2 points and distributing 8.1 assists.

Jaren Jackson Jr. contributes with 6.7 boards and 1.0 assist per game in addition to his 18.6 PPG scoring average.

Desmond Bane leads active Grizzlies in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.9 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Tyus Jones averages 1.0 steal per game, and Jackson compiles 3.0 rejections per contest.

Lakers Key Players to Watch

James pours in 28.9 points per game and also tacks on 8.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists per contest.

This season, Anthony Davis has a statline that includes 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per game.

Malik Beasley hits 2.9 threes per game.

The Lakers’ defensive efforts get a boost from Jarred Vanderbilt’s 1.1 steals and Davis’ 2.0 blocks per game.

Grizzlies vs. Lakers Prediction

• Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 4.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (222.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Grizzlies 118 – Lakers 113

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