Warriors vs. Kings NBA Playoffs Game 5 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 26, 2023

Oddsmakers expect De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (48-34) to hold up well with Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors (44-38). Golden State is a slight 1.5-point favorite for the clash on April 26, 2023. The matchup has a point total of 235.

Warriors vs. Kings Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -128
• Kings odds to win: +108
• Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
• Total: 235

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Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, April 26, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
• TV: TNT, NBCS-CA, and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Kings?

Warriors and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Warriors have a 29-27-1 record against the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.

In games this season in which they were an underdog by 1.5 points or more, the Kings have an 18-12 record against the spread.

The Warriors and the Kings combine to average 4.6 more points per game than the over/under of 235 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.2 more points per game, 235.2, than this matchup’s over/under of 235 points.

The average over/under the Warriors have had in their games this year is 1.1 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under in Sacramento’s games this year is 3.8 more points than the point total of 235 for this outing.

Golden State is 39-42-1 against the spread this season.

The Kings are 45-36-1 ATS this season.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors have a +148 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.8 points per game. They’re putting up 118.9 points per game to rank second in the league and are giving up 117.1 per outing to rank 21st in the NBA.

The 44.6 rebounds per game the Warriors average rank eighth in the league, and are 1.3 more than the 43.3 their opponents collect per outing.

Golden State connects on 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.7 more than its opponents (12.9). It is shooting 38.5% from beyond the arc (second-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.4%.

The Warriors average 113.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (11th in the league), and give up 111.4 points per 100 possessions (11th in the NBA).

In the 2022-23 campaign, the Warriors are scoring 1.5 more points per home game on average than on the road (119.7 at home, 118.2 on the road), but are giving up 10.8 fewer points per home game compared to road games (111.7 at home, 122.5 on the road).

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings are outscoring opponents by 2.6 points per game, with a +217 scoring differential overall. They put up 120.7 points per game (first in NBA) and give up 118.1 per contest (25th in league).

Sacramento is 20th in the NBA at 42.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.2 its opponents average.

The Kings knock down 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) while shooting 36.9% from deep (ninth-best in NBA). They are making 1.3 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12.5 per game at 37.3%.

The Kings rank first in the NBA with 117.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd defensively with 114.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Sacramento is scoring 5.4 more points per game at home (123.4) than on the road (118.0).

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Warriors this season is Poole (among active players), who averages 20.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game.

Draymond Green contributes with 8.5 points, 6.8 assists and 7.2 rebounds per game, and Kevon Looney adds 7.0 points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per contest.

Klay Thompson leads active Warriors in three-point shooting, making an average of 4.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Kings Key Players to Watch

Domantas Sabonis grabs 12.3 rebounds per game, 7.3 assists per game, and 19.1 points per game.

Fox’s per-game averages this season are 25.0 points, 6.1 assists and 4.2 rebounds.

Keegan Murray hits 2.6 treys per game.

Fox’s 1.1 steals and Murray’s 0.5 blocks per game are key to the Kings’ defensive performance.

Warriors vs. Kings Prediction

• Pick ATS: Kings (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (235)
  

• Prediction:
  Kings 120 – Warriors 117

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