Lakers vs. Grizzlies NBA Playoffs Game 6 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 28, 2023

Ja Morant’s Memphis Grizzlies (51-31) will look to secure an upset of LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers (43-39) on April 28, 2023. The Lakers are a 5-point favorite. The point total for the matchup is 220.

Lakers vs. Grizzlies Odds

• Lakers odds to win: -207
• Grizzlies odds to win: +173
• Spread: Lakers (-5)
• Total: 220

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Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, April 28, 2023 at 10:30 PM ET
• Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
• TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Lakers vs. Grizzlies?

Lakers and Grizzlies Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Lakers have a 9-4-1 record against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

The Grizzlies are 1-5 against the spread when an underdog by 5 points or more this year.

These two teams average a combined 234.1 points per game, 14.1 more points than the total of 220 set for this game.

Los Angeles and Memphis have seen its opponents average a combined 9.6 more points per game than the over/under of 220 set for this game.

The average over/under the Lakers have had in their games this year is 13.8 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under in Memphis’ games this season is 9.9 more points than the point total of 220 in this outing.

Los Angeles has a 40-39-3 record against the spread this season.

The Grizzlies have a 37-41-4 record against the spread this season.

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers average 117.2 points per game (sixth in the league) while giving up 116.6 per contest (20th in the NBA). They have a +47 scoring differential overall.

The Lakers are sixth in the NBA at 45.7 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.9 their opponents average.

Los Angeles connects on 1.7 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 10.8 (24th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.5.

The Lakers average 111.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (19th in the league), and give up 111.5 points per 100 possessions (14th in the NBA).

So far in the 2022-23 season, the Lakers score 0.3 fewer points per home game on average than on the road (117.0 at home, 117.3 on the road), and are also conceding 5.6 fewer points per home game compared to road games (113.8 at home, 119.4 on the road).

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies are outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game, with a +323 scoring differential overall. They put up 116.9 points per game (eighth in NBA) and allow 113.0 per outing (11th in league).

Memphis comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. It records 46.6 rebounds per game (second in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.4.

The Grizzlies knock down 12.0 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), while their opponents have made 13.0 on average.

The Grizzlies rank 14th in the league averaging 112.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second, allowing 108.3 points per 100 possessions.

Memphis averages 119.8 points per game at home, and 114.0 on the road.

Lakers Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Lakers this season is James (among active players), who averages 28.9 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 6.8 assists per game.

Anthony Davis adds 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per outing. D’Angelo Russell puts up 17.8 points, 6.2 assists and 3.0 rebounds per game.

The Lakers get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Malik Beasley.

Jarred Vanderbilt averages 1.1 takeaways per game, and Davis records 2.0 rejections per contest.

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

The Grizzlies go-to guy, Morant, leads active Grizzlies players in both scoring (26.2 points per game) and assists (8.1 assists per game).

Jaren Jackson Jr. has per-game averages of 18.6 points, 1.0 assist and 6.7 rebounds this season.

Desmond Bane knocks down 2.9 threes per game.

The Grizzlies’ defensive efforts get a lift from Tyus Jones (1.0 steal per game) and Jackson (3.0 blocks per game).

Lakers vs. Grizzlies Prediction

• Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (220)
  

• Prediction:
  Lakers 116 – Grizzlies 115

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