Warriors vs. Kings NBA Playoffs Game 6 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 28, 2023

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Warriors vs. Kings NBA Playoffs Game 6 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 28, 2023

NBA Predictions

Odds are against De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (48-34), who are a 6.5-point underdog when they take the court against Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors (44-38) on April 28, 2023. The matchup features an over/under of 236.5.

Warriors vs. Kings Odds

  • Warriors odds to win: -282
  • Kings odds to win: +231
  • Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
  • Total: 236.5

Warriors vs. Kings Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • When: Friday, April 28, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Kings?

Warriors and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Warriors have a 14-13 record against the spread.

The Kings have a 3-3 record against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year.

The Warriors and the Kings combine to average 3.1 more points per game than the total of 236.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 235.2 points per game, 1.3 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.

The Warriors’ average point total in matchups this season is 236.1, 0.4 points below the over/under in this game.

Sacramento’s games this season have averaged a total of 238.8 points, 2.3 more than the point total in this matchup.

Golden State is 39-42-1 against the spread this season.

The Kings’ ATS record is 45-36-1 this year.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors’ +148 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 118.9 points per game (second in the NBA) while giving up 117.1 per contest (21st in the league).

The 44.6 rebounds per game the Warriors average rank eighth in the league, and are 1.3 more than the 43.3 their opponents pull down per contest.

Golden State knocks down 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league) while shooting 38.5% from deep (second-best in the NBA). It is making 3.7 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 12.9 per game while shooting 36.4%.

The Warriors average 113.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (11th in the league), and give up 111.4 points per 100 possessions (11th in the NBA).

The Warriors’ offense has been much better when playing at home (119.7 PPG) compared to road games (118.2 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been much better at home (111.7 PPG allowed) when compared to road games (122.5 PPG allowed).

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings put up 120.7 points per game (first in league) while giving up 118.1 per contest (25th in NBA). They have a +217 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 2.6 points per game.

Sacramento pulls down 42.4 rebounds per game (20th in league), compared to the 42.2 of its opponents.

The Kings hit 1.3 more threes per game than the opposition, 13.8 (fifth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.5.

The Kings average 117 points per 100 possessions on offense (first in league), and allow 114.1 points per 100 possessions (23rd in NBA).

Sacramento is putting up more points at home (123.4 per game) than away (118).

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Warriors this season is Poole (among active players), who averages 20.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game.

Kevon Looney adds seven points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per outing. Draymond Green puts up 8.5 points, 6.8 assists and 7.2 rebounds a game.

The Warriors get 4.4 three-pointers per game out of Klay Thompson.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 takeaways per game, and Green collects 0.8 rejections per contest.

Kings Key Players to Watch

Domantas Sabonis grabs 12.3 rebounds per game, 7.3 assists per game, and 19.1 points per game.

Fox’s per-game averages this season are 25 points, 6.1 assists and 4.2 rebounds.

Keegan Murray averages 2.6 made threes per game.

Fox’s 1.1 steals and Murray’s 0.5 blocks per game are key to the Kings’ defensive performance.

Warriors vs. Kings Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Kings (+ 6.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (236.5)

  • Prediction:
    Warriors 120 – Kings 117

How to Bet on Warriors vs. Kings

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Luis Escalante

Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.