Nuggets vs. Suns Western Conference Semifinals Game 1 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 29, 2023

The Phoenix Suns (45-37) enter their game on April 29, 2023 as a 4-point underdog against the Denver Nuggets (53-29). A 227-point total is set for the game.

Nuggets vs. Suns Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -175
• Suns odds to win: +148
• Spread: Nuggets (-4)
• Total: 227

Nuggets vs. Suns Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Suns?

Nuggets and Suns Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets are 27-21-1 against the spread when favored by 4 points or more this season.

In games this year in which they were an underdog by 4 points or more, the Suns have a 7-7-1 record against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 2.4 more points per game (229.4) than this matchup’s over/under (227).

Denver and Phoenix have seen its opponents average a combined 2.9 fewer points per game than the point total of 227 set for this matchup.

The average point total in Nuggets games this season is 1.3 more points than the total of 227 in this matchup.

The average point total for Phoenix this year is 1.8 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Denver is 44-36-2 ATS this season.

So far this year, the Suns have put together a 41-38-3 record against the spread.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets outscore opponents by 3.3 points per game (scoring 115.8 points per game to rank 12th in the league while giving up 112.5 per outing to rank eighth in the NBA) and have a +273 scoring differential overall.

The Nuggets grab 43.0 rebounds per game (18th in the league) while allowing 40.8 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.2 boards per game.

Denver knocks down 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.4 on average.

The Nuggets average 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (second in the league), and allow 112.9 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).

The Nuggets’ offense has been much better at home (119.4 PPG) compared to their play on the road (112.2 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been much better at home (109.6 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (115.3 PPG allowed).

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns have a +170 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.0 points per game. They’re putting up 113.6 points per game, 17th in the league, and are giving up 111.6 per outing to rank sixth in the NBA.

Phoenix wins the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. It records 44.2 rebounds per game (11th in league) compared to its opponents’ 42.9.

The Suns connect on 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) at a 37.4% rate (seventh-best in NBA), compared to the 11.4 their opponents make, shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc.

The Suns rank 17th in the league averaging 112.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are seventh, allowing 110.1 points per 100 possessions.

Phoenix scores 114.1 points per game at home, and 113.2 on the road.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Nikola Jokic puts up 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.

Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon has 0.8 blocks per contest.

Suns Key Players to Watch

Devin Booker scores 27.8 points per game. He also contributes 4.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game this season.

This season, Deandre Ayton is averaging 18.0 points, 1.7 assists and 10.0 rebounds per game.

Booker cashes in on 2.1 treys per game.

The Suns’ defensive effort gets a boost from Chris Paul (1.5 steals per game) and Bismack Biyombo (1.4 blocks per game).

Nuggets vs. Suns Prediction

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 4)
• Pick OU:

  Under (227)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 115 – Suns 111

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