Kings vs. Warriors NBA Playoffs Game 7 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 30, 2023

Oddsmakers expect Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors (44-38) to hold up well with De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (48-34). Sacramento is a slight 1-point favorite for the game on April 30, 2023. The point total for the matchup is 229.5.

Kings vs. Warriors Odds

• Kings odds to win: -114
• Warriors odds to win: -106
• Spread: Kings (-1)
• Total: 229.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
• Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
• TV: ABC

Who Will Win Kings vs. Warriors?

Kings and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 1 point or more, the Kings have a 27-24-1 record against the spread.

In games this year in which they were an underdog by 1 point or more, the Warriors have a 10-15 record against the spread.

These two teams average a combined 239.6 points per game, 10.1 more points than the over/under of 229.5 set for this game.

Sacramento and Golden State have seen its opponents average a combined 5.7 more points per game than the point total of 229.5 set in this game.

The Kings’ average point total in matchups this season is 238.8, 9.3 points higher than the over/under in this game.

The average over/under for Golden State’s games this year is 6.6 more points than the point total of 229.5 in this outing.

Sacramento’s ATS record is 45-36-1 this season.

So far this season, the Warriors have compiled a 39-42-1 record against the spread.

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings are outscoring opponents by 2.6 points per game with a +217 scoring differential overall. They put up 120.7 points per game (first in the NBA) and give up 118.1 per outing (25th in the league).

The Kings rank 20th in the league at 42.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.2 their opponents average.

Sacramento knocks down 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league), 1.3 more than its opponents (12.5). It is shooting 36.9% from deep (ninth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 37.3%.

The Kings’ 117.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in the NBA, and the 114.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 23rd in the league.

The Kings’ offense has been much better at home (123.4 PPG) compared to their play on the road (118.0 PPG). However, their defense has been worse at home (120.1 PPG allowed) compared to road games (116.0 PPG allowed).

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors outscore opponents by 1.8 points per game (posting 118.9 points per game, second in league, and giving up 117.1 per outing, 21st in NBA) and have a +148 scoring differential.

Golden State wins the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. It records 44.6 rebounds per game, eighth in the league, while its opponents grab 43.3.

The Warriors make 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.7 more than their opponents. They are shooting 38.5% from deep (second-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 36.4%.

The Warriors rank 11th in the NBA with 113.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th defensively with 111.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Golden State is scoring 1.5 more points per game at home (119.7) than on the road (118.2).

Kings Key Players to Watch

Domantas Sabonis puts up 19.1 points, 12.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game.

Fox puts up 25.0 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.

Keegan Murray leads active Kings in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Fox averages 1.1 steals per game, while Murray has 0.5 blocks per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Poole tallies 20.4 points per game and also tacks on 2.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest.

This season, Kevon Looney is averaging 7.0 points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson averages 4.4 made threes per game.

The Warriors’ defensive effort gets a lift from Donte DiVincenzo (1.3 steals per game) and Draymond Green (0.8 blocks per game).

Kings vs. Warriors Prediction

• Pick ATS: Kings (- 1)
• Pick OU:

  Over (229.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Kings 120 – Warriors 117

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