Celtics vs. 76ers Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 1 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 1, 2023

Boston is a double-digit favorite against Philadelphia when Jayson Tatum’s Celtics (57-25) and Joel Embiid’s 76ers (54-28) square off on May 1, 2023. The line has the Celtics favored by 10.5 points. The matchup’s over/under is 215.

Celtics vs. 76ers Odds

• Celtics odds to win: -556
• 76ers odds to win: +413
• Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
• Total: 215

Celtics vs. 76ers Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, May 1, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Celtics vs. 76ers?

Celtics and 76ers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, the Celtics are 6-9-1 against the spread.

When they have played as at least 10.5-point underdogs this season, the 76ers are 1-0 against the spread.

The Celtics and 76ers average 18.1 more points between them than the total of 215 for this matchup.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 222.3 points per game, 7.3 more than the point total for this game.

The Celtics’ average point total in matchups this year is 229.4, 14.4 points higher than the total in this game.

Philadelphia’s games this year have averaged a total of 226.1 points, 11.1 more than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, Boston has compiled a 44-35-3 record against the spread.

The 76ers have a 48-34-0 record against the spread this year.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics average 117.9 points per game (fourth in the league) while giving up 111.4 per contest (fourth in the NBA). They have a +535 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 6.5 points per game.

The 45.3 rebounds per game the Celtics average rank seventh in the league, and are 1.3 more than the 44 their opponents record per contest.

Boston connects on 4.4 more threes per contest than the opposition, 16 (second-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.6.

The Celtics record 115.7 points per 100 possessions (third in the league), while giving up 108.8 points per 100 possessions (third in the NBA).

The Celtics’ offense has been much better when playing at home (120.5 PPG) compared to their play on the road (115.4 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better when playing at home (110.5 PPG allowed) compared to road games (112.4 PPG allowed).

76ers Stats & Insights

The 76ers outscore opponents by 4.3 points per game (posting 115.2 points per game, 14th in league, and allowing 110.9 per outing, third in NBA) and have a +354 scoring differential.

Philadelphia ranks 26th in the NBA at 40.9 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 41.2 its opponents average.

The 76ers connect on 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.6. They shoot 38.7% from deep, and their opponents shoot 34.8%.

The 76ers’ 115.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank fourth in the NBA, and the 110.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank eighth in the league.

In 2022-23 Philadelphia is averaging two fewer points per game at home (114.2) than away (116.2).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

The Celtics get 30.1 points, 8.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists from Tatum.

Marcus Smart contributes with 3.1 boards and 6.3 assists per game in addition to his 11.5 PPG scoring average.

Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.2 per contest.

Smart averages 1.5 steals per game, while Derrick White swats 0.9 shots per contest.

76ers Key Players to Watch

Embiid has been among the team’s best in both scoring (33.1 points per game) and rebounding (10.2 rebounds per game) while adding 4.2 assists per contest.

James Harden’s per-game averages this season are 21 points, 10.7 assists and 6.1 rebounds.

Harden averages 2.8 made threes per game.

The 76ers’ defensive efforts get a lift from De’Anthony Melton’s 1.6 steals and Embiid’s 1.7 blocks per game.

Celtics vs. 76ers Prediction

• Pick ATS: 76ers (+ 10.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (215)
  

• Prediction:
  Celtics 116 – 76ers 112

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