Nuggets vs. Suns Western Conference Semifinals Game 2 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 1, 2023

Devin Booker’s Phoenix Suns (45-37) will look to upset Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets when the Suns square off against the Nuggets on May 1, 2023. Denver is a 4-point favorite against Phoenix. The matchup’s point total is 229.

Nuggets vs. Suns Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -170
• Suns odds to win: +145
• Spread: Nuggets (-4)
• Total: 229

Nuggets vs. Suns Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, May 1, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Suns?

Nuggets and Suns Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets have a 27-21-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.

In games this season in which they were an underdog by 4 points or more, the Suns have a 7-7-1 record against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 0.4 more points per game (229.4) than this matchup’s total (229).

Denver and Phoenix have seen its opponents average a combined 4.9 fewer points per game than the point total of 229 set in this outing.

The average total the Nuggets have had set in matchups this year is 0.7 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for Phoenix this season is 3.8 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Denver’s ATS record is 44-36-2 this season.

So far this season, the Suns have compiled a 41-38-3 record against the spread.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets’ +273 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 115.8 points per game (12th in the NBA) while allowing 112.5 per outing (eighth in the league).

The Nuggets win the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. They are collecting 43 rebounds per game (18th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 40.8 per outing.

Denver hits 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 37.9% rate (fourth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.4 its opponents make while shooting 34.4% from deep.

The Nuggets rank second in the league by averaging 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 19th in the NBA, allowing 112.9 points per 100 possessions.

During the 2022-23 season, the Nuggets are scoring 7.2 more points per home game on average than on the road (119.4 at home, 112.2 on the road), but are allowing 5.7 fewer points per home game compared to road games (109.6 at home, 115.3 on the road).

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns’ +170 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by two points per game) is a result of putting up 113.6 points per game (17th in NBA) while giving up 111.6 per contest (sixth in league).

Phoenix wins the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. It records 44.2 rebounds per game, 11th in the league, while its opponents grab 42.9.

The Suns make 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league), while their opponents have made 11.4 on average.

The Suns rank 17th in the league averaging 112.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are seventh, allowing 110.1 points per 100 possessions.

Phoenix is scoring more points at home (114.1 per game) than away (113.2).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic averages 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, with 9.8 assists.

Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of three shots per game from beyond the arc.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Suns Key Players to Watch

Booker scores 27.8 points per game and also tacks on 4.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per contest.

This season, Deandre Ayton is averaging 18 points, 1.7 assists and 10 rebounds per game.

Booker hits 2.1 treys per game.

The Suns’ defensive effort gets a boost from Chris Paul’s 1.5 steals and Bismack Biyombo’s 1.4 blocks per game.

Nuggets vs. Suns Prediction

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 4)
• Pick OU:

  Under (229)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 116 – Suns 111

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