Knicks vs. Heat Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 2 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 2, 2023

The New York Knicks (47-35) are 10-point favorites as they are set to hit the court against the Miami Heat (44-38) on May 2, 2023. A point total of 207.5 is set for the game.

Knicks vs. Heat Odds

• Knicks odds to win: -490
• Heat odds to win: +373
• Spread: Knicks (-10)
• Total: 207.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, May 2, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Knicks vs. Heat?

Knicks and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Knicks are 1-3 against the spread when favored by 10 points or more this season.

The Knicks and Heat average 18 more points between them than the total of 207.5 for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 222.9 points per game, 15.4 more than the point total for this matchup.

The average total for Knicks games this year is 21.6 more points than the total of 207.5 in this game.

Miami’s games this season have averaged a total of 219.3 points, 11.8 more than the point total in this matchup.

New York has a 45-35-2 record against the spread this season.

The Heat’s ATS record is 30-48-4 this year.

Knicks Stats & Insights

The Knicks average 116 points per game (11th in the league) while giving up 113.1 per contest (12th in the NBA). They have a +240 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 2.9 points per game.

The Knicks record 46.6 rebounds per game (second in the league) while allowing 42 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 4.6 boards per game.

New York hits 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th in the league), while its opponents have made 13 on average.

The Knicks rank sixth in the league by averaging 114.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 16th in the NBA, allowing 111.7 points per 100 possessions.

So far in the 2022-23 season, the Knicks score 2.5 more points per home game on average than on the road (117.3 at home, 114.8 on the road), but are giving up 0.2 fewer points per home game compared to road games (113 at home, 113.2 on the road).

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat put up 109.5 points per game (30th in league) while allowing 109.8 per outing (second in NBA). They have a -26 scoring differential.

Miami loses the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. It records 40.6 rebounds per game, 27th in the league, while its opponents grab 41.9.

The Heat connect on 12 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc (27th in NBA). They are making 1.1 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.1 per game at 36.7%.

The Heat rank 25th in the NBA with 110.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and ninth defensively with 110.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Miami is putting up more points at home (111.4 per game) than away (107.5).

Knicks Key Players to Watch

Julius Randle averages 25.1 points, 10 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game.

Jalen Brunson puts up 24 points per game and adds 3.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists for the Knicks.

The Knicks get 2.8 three-pointers per game out of Randle.

Josh Hart averages 1.2 takeaways per game, and Mitchell Robinson records 1.8 rejections per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo has the top Heat spot in two categories among active players: scoring (20.4 points per game) and rebounding (9.2 rebounds per game). He also dishes out 3.2 assists per contest.

Jimmy Butler has per-game averages of 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds this season.

Max Strus averages 2.5 made threes per game.

The Heat’s defensive effort gets a boost from Butler’s 1.8 steals and Adebayo’s 0.8 blocks per game.

Knicks vs. Heat Prediction

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 10)
• Pick OU:

  Over (207.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Knicks 115 – Heat 109

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