Warriors vs. Lakers Western Conference Semifinals Game 1 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Golden State is a 4-point favorite against Los Angeles when Jordan Poole’s Warriors (44-38) and the LeBron James-led Lakers (43-39) hit the court on May 2, 2023. A 227-point over/under is set for the matchup.

Warriors vs. Lakers Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -182
• Lakers odds to win: +155
• Spread: Warriors (-4)
• Total: 227

Warriors vs. Lakers Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, May 2, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Lakers?

Warriors and Lakers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Warriors have a 21-21-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.

The Lakers have a 12-18-2 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 9.1 more points per game, 236.1, than this matchup’s total of 227 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.7 more points per game, 233.7, than this game’s over/under of 227 points.

The average total the Warriors have had in their games this season is 9.1 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average total in Los Angeles’ games this year is 6.8 more points than the point total of 227 for this outing.

Golden State has gone 39-42-1 ATS this season.

The Lakers’ ATS record is 40-39-3 this season.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors are outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game with a +148 scoring differential overall. They put up 118.9 points per game (second in the NBA) and give up 117.1 per contest (21st in the league).

The Warriors win the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. They collect 44.6 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the league, while their opponents grab 43.3 per contest.

Golden State connects on 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league) at a 38.5% rate (second-best in the NBA), compared to the 12.9 per game its opponents make at a 36.4% rate.

The Warriors rank 11th in the NBA with 113.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th in the league defensively with 111.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Warriors have scored at a higher clip at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (119.7 at home versus 118.2 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than in road games (111.7 opponent points per home game versus 122.5 on the road).

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers score 117.2 points per game (sixth in NBA) and allow 116.6 (20th in league) for a +47 scoring differential overall.

Los Angeles records 45.7 rebounds per game (sixth in league), compared to the 44.9 of its opponents.

The Lakers knock down 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) at a 34.6% rate (24th in NBA), compared to the 12.5 per outing their opponents make, shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc.

The Lakers rank 19th in the league averaging 111.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 14th, allowing 111.5 points per 100 possessions.

Los Angeles is scoring fewer points at home (117 per game) than away (117.3).

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Warriors this season is Poole (among active players), who averages 20.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game.

Draymond Green contributes with 8.5 points, 6.8 assists and 7.2 rebounds per game, and Kevon Looney adds seven points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per contest.

The Warriors get 4.4 three-pointers per game out of Klay Thompson.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green has 0.8 blocks per contest.

Lakers Key Players to Watch

James pours in 28.9 points per game. He also contributes 8.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game this season.

This season, Anthony Davis has a statline of 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per game.

Malik Beasley knocks down 2.9 threes per game.

The Lakers’ defensive efforts get a boost from Jarred Vanderbilt (1.1 steals per game) and Davis (two blocks per game).

Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction

• Pick ATS: Lakers (+ 4)
• Pick OU:

  Over (227)
  

• Prediction:
  Warriors 119 – Lakers 115

How to Bet on Warriors vs. Lakers

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.