Celtics vs. 76ers Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 3 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 5, 2023

The Boston Celtics (57-25) are slight favorites against the Philadelphia 76ers (54-28) on May 5, 2023 in a game projected to be a tight matchup. Boston and Jayson Tatum are a 2-point favorite against Joel Embiid and Philadelphia. A point total of 213.5 has been set for the game.

Celtics vs. 76ers Odds

• Celtics odds to win: -138
• 76ers odds to win: +117
• Spread: Celtics (-2)
• Total: 213.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, May 5, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Celtics vs. 76ers?

Celtics and 76ers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Celtics have a 33-33-3 record against the spread this season when favored by 2 points or more.

In games this season in which they were an underdog by 2 points or more, the 76ers have an 11-9 record against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 19.6 more points per game (233.1) than this matchup’s total of 213.5 points.

Boston and Philadelphia have seen its opponents average a combined 8.8 more points per game than the over/under of 213.5 set for this game.

The average total the Celtics have had in their games this year is 15.9 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average total in Philadelphia’s games this year is 12.6 more points than the point total of 213.5 in this outing.

Boston is 44-35-3 against the spread this season.

The 76ers’ ATS record is 48-34-0 this year.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics outscore opponents by 6.5 points per game (scoring 117.9 points per game to rank fourth in the league while giving up 111.4 per outing to rank fourth in the NBA) and have a +535 scoring differential overall.

The Celtics grab 45.3 rebounds per game (seventh in the league) while allowing 44 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.3 boards per game.

Boston makes 16 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 4.4 more than its opponents (11.6). It is shooting 37.6% from deep (sixth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.5%.

The Celtics rank third in the NBA with 115.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and third in the league defensively with 108.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Celtics’ offense has been much better in home games (120.5 PPG) compared to their play on the road (115.4 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better in home games (110.5 PPG allowed) compared to their play on the road (112.4 PPG allowed).

76ers Stats & Insights

The 76ers have a +354 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.3 points per game. They’re putting up 115.2 points per game, 14th in the league, and are giving up 110.9 per outing to rank third in the NBA.

Philadelphia records 40.9 rebounds per game (26th in league), compared to the 41.2 of its opponents.

The 76ers connect on 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th in the league), while their opponents have made 11.6 on average.

The 76ers score 115.5 points per 100 possessions (fourth in league), while allowing 110.3 points per 100 possessions (eighth in NBA).

At home Philadelphia is putting up 114.2 points per game, two fewer points than it is averaging on the road (116.2).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Tatum averages 30.1 points, 8.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game.

Marcus Smart’s averages this season are 11.5 points, 3.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game.

Tatum leads active Celtics in three-point shooting, making an average of 3.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Smart picks pockets to the tune of 1.5 takeaways per game, and Derrick White collects 0.9 rejections per contest.

76ers Key Players to Watch

Embiid is at the top of the 76ers scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 33.1 points per game and 10.2 rebounds per game to go with 4.2 assists per contest this season.

The 76ers have gotten 21 points, 10.7 assists and 6.1 rebounds out of James Harden this season.

Harden averages 2.8 made threes per game.

The 76ers’ defensive effort gets a boost from De’Anthony Melton (1.6 steals per game) and Embiid (1.7 blocks per game).

Celtics vs. 76ers Prediction

• Pick ATS: 76ers (+ 2)
• Pick OU:

  Over (213.5)
  

• Prediction:
  76ers 114 – Celtics 113

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