Suns vs. Nuggets Western Conference Semifinals Game 3 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 5, 2023

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Suns vs. Nuggets Western Conference Semifinals Game 3 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 5, 2023

NBA Predictions

Nikola Jokic’s Denver Nuggets (53-29) will try to upset Devin Booker and the Phoenix Suns when the Nuggets take on the Suns on May 5, 2023. Phoenix is a 4-point favorite against Denver. A point total of 225 is set for the matchup.

Suns vs. Nuggets Odds

  • Suns odds to win: -182
  • Nuggets odds to win: +153
  • Spread: Suns (-4)
  • Total: 225

Suns vs. Nuggets Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • When: Friday, May 5, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
  • TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Suns vs. Nuggets?

Suns and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Suns have a 19-14-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 4 points or more this season.

The Nuggets are 7-3 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this year.

The Suns and the Nuggets combine to average 4.4 more points per game than the over/under of 225 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 224.1 points per game, 0.9 fewer than the point total in this game.

The average point total for Suns games this year is 0.2 more points than the total of 225 in this matchup.

The average over/under in Denver’s games this season is 3.3 more points than the point total of 225 for this outing.

Phoenix has a 41-38-3 record against the spread this season.

The Nuggets have a 44-36-2 record against the spread this season.

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns’ +170 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by two points per game) is a result of scoring 113.6 points per game (17th in the NBA) while giving up 111.6 per outing (sixth in the league).

The Suns average 44.2 rebounds per game (11th in the league) while conceding 42.9 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.3 boards per game.

Phoenix knocks down 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.4. It shoots 37.4% from deep while its opponents hit 35.7% from long range.

The Suns average 112.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (17th in the league), and allow 110.1 points per 100 possessions (seventh in the NBA).

During the 2022-23 campaign, the Suns are scoring 0.9 more points per home game on average than on the road (114.1 at home, 113.2 on the road), but are allowing 4.7 fewer points per home game compared to road games (109.2 at home, 113.9 on the road).

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets outscore opponents by 3.3 points per game (posting 115.8 points per game, 12th in league, and giving up 112.5 per outing, eighth in NBA) and have a +273 scoring differential.

The 43 rebounds per game Denver accumulates rank 18th in the league, 2.2 more than the 40.8 its opponents pull down.

The Nuggets knock down 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.4. They shoot 37.9% from deep, and their opponents shoot 34.4%.

The Nuggets’ 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank second in the NBA, and the 112.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 19th in the league.

At home Denver is putting up 119.4 points per game, 7.2 more than it is averaging on the road (112.2).

Suns Key Players to Watch

The active leader in points and assists for the Suns this season is Booker, who scores 27.8 points and dishes out 5.5 assists per game.

Deandre Ayton contributes with 10 boards and 1.7 assists per game in addition to his 18 PPG scoring average.

Booker makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Suns, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.1 per contest.

Josh Okogie averages 0.8 takeaways per game, while Bismack Biyombo compiles 1.4 rejections per contest.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic has shown out this season to lead active Nuggets players in points (24.5 per game), rebounds (11.8 per game), and assists (9.8 per game).

Michael Porter Jr. averages three made threes per game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s 1.5 steals and Aaron Gordon’s 0.8 blocks per game are key to the Nuggets’ defensive effort.

Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 4)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (225)

  • Prediction:
    Suns 114 – Nuggets 113

How to Bet on Suns vs. Nuggets

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Author: Luis Escalante

Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.