Lakers vs. Warriors Western Conference Semifinals Game 3 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers (43-39) will look to fend off Jordan Poole’s Golden State Warriors (44-38) on May 6, 2023. The Lakers are a 3-point favorite. The game has an over/under of 229.5.

Lakers vs. Warriors Odds

• Lakers odds to win: -157
• Warriors odds to win: +133
• Spread: Lakers (-3)
• Total: 229.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
• TV: ABC

Who Will Win Lakers vs. Warriors?

Lakers and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 3 points or more, the Lakers have a 13-10-1 record against the spread.

In games this year in which they were an underdog by 3 points or more, the Warriors have an 8-10 record against the spread.

The Lakers and the Warriors combine to average 6.6 more points per game than the over/under of 229.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 233.7 points per game, 4.2 more than the over/under in this game.

The average over/under the Lakers have had set in matchups this season is 4.3 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average over/under in Golden State’s games this season is 6.6 more points than the point total of 229.5 for this outing.

Los Angeles is 40-39-3 ATS this season.

The Warriors’ ATS record is 39-42-1 this year.

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers score 117.2 points per game (sixth in the NBA) and allow 116.6 (20th in the league) for a +47 scoring differential overall.

The 45.7 rebounds per game the Lakers average rank sixth in the league. Their opponents record 44.9 per outing.

Los Angeles hits 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), 1.7 fewer than its opponents (12.5).

The Lakers put up 111.8 points per 100 possessions (19th in the league), while allowing 111.5 points per 100 possessions (14th in the NBA).

So far in 2022-23, the Lakers’ offense has been slightly worse at home, where they average 117 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 117.3 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been much tougher when playing at home, where they concede 113.8 points per game, versus road games, where they allow opponents to average 119.4 per game.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors are outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game, with a +148 scoring differential overall. They put up 118.9 points per game (second in NBA) and allow 117.1 per outing (21st in league).

Golden State wins the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. It pulls down 44.6 rebounds per game (eighth in league) compared to its opponents’ 43.3.

The Warriors knock down 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.7 more than their opponents.

The Warriors’ 113.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in the NBA, and the 111.4 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 11th in the league.

At home, Golden State averages 119.7 points per game. Away, it scores 118.2.

Lakers Key Players to Watch

James leads active Lakers players in scoring, tallying 28.9 points per game to go with 8.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists.

Anthony Davis adds 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per contest. D’Angelo Russell puts up 17.8 points, 6.2 assists and three rebounds per game.

The Lakers get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Malik Beasley.

Jarred Vanderbilt averages 1.1 steals per game, while Davis swats two shots per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Poole racks up 20.4 points per game. He also adds 2.7 rebounds per outing and 4.5 assists per contest.

This season, Kevon Looney is averaging seven points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson hits 4.4 threes per game.

The Warriors’ defensive efforts get a boost from Donte DiVincenzo (1.3 steals per game) and Draymond Green (0.8 blocks per game).

Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction

• Pick ATS: Warriors (+ 3)
• Pick OU:

  Over (229.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Lakers 118 – Warriors 116

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