Suns vs. Nuggets Western Conference Semifinals Game 4 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 7, 2023

The Phoenix Suns (45-37) are slight favorites against the Denver Nuggets (53-29) on May 7, 2023 in a game expected to be a tight one. Phoenix and Devin Booker are a 1-point favorite against Nikola Jokic and Denver. The matchup has an over/under of 226.5.

Suns vs. Nuggets Odds

• Suns odds to win: -115
• Nuggets odds to win: -105
• Spread: Suns (-1)
• Total: 226.5

Suns vs. Nuggets Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Suns vs. Nuggets?

Suns and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Suns have a 28-21-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 1 point or more.

In games they have played as at least 1-point underdogs this year, the Nuggets are 13-7-1 against the spread.

These two teams average 229.4 points per game combined, 2.9 more than the total of 226.5.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 224.1 points per game, 2.4 fewer than the over/under for this game.

The average point total in Suns games this year is 1.3 fewer points than the total of 226.5 in this matchup.

The average over/under for Denver’s games this season is 1.8 more points than the point total of 226.5 for this outing.

So far this season, Phoenix has compiled a 41-38-3 record against the spread.

The Nuggets have a 44-36-2 record against the spread this year.

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns are outscoring opponents by two points per game with a +170 scoring differential overall. They put up 113.6 points per game (17th in the NBA) and give up 111.6 per outing (sixth in the league).

The 44.2 rebounds per game the Suns average rank 11th in the NBA, and are 1.3 more than the 42.9 their opponents record per contest.

Phoenix connects on 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.4. It shoots 37.4% from deep while its opponents hit 35.7% from long range.

The Suns’ 112.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 17th in the NBA, and the 110.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank seventh in the league.

The Suns have scored at a higher clip in home games than on the road in the 2022-23 season (114.1 at home versus 113.2 on the road), though they have given up fewer points at home than in road games (109.2 opponent points per home game versus 113.9 on the road).

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets put up 115.8 points per game (12th in league) while giving up 112.5 per contest (eighth in NBA). They have a +273 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 3.3 points per game.

Denver records 43 rebounds per game (18th in league) while allowing 40.8 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.2 boards per game.

The Nuggets hit 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), while their opponents have made 11.4 on average.

The Nuggets’ 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank second in the NBA, and the 112.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 19th in the league.

In 2022-23 Denver is scoring 7.2 more points per game at home (119.4) than away (112.2).

Suns Key Players to Watch

Booker leads active Suns’ players in points and assists per game, scoring 27.8 points and distributing 5.5 assists.

Deandre Ayton contributes with 10 boards and 1.7 assists per game in addition to his 18 PPG scoring average.

Booker leads active Suns in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Josh Okogie picks pockets to the tune of 0.8 takeaways per game, and Bismack Biyombo collects 1.4 rejections per contest.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic is having a well-balanced season overall, putting up 24.5 points per game, 11.8 rebounds per game, and 9.8 assists per game.

Michael Porter Jr. hits three treys per game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s 1.5 steals and Aaron Gordon’s 0.8 blocks per game are important to the Nuggets’ defensive effort.

Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction

• Pick ATS: Suns (- 1)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Suns 114 – Nuggets 113

How to Bet on Suns vs. Nuggets

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.