Heat vs. Knicks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets For Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 4 – Monday, May 8, 2023

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (44-38) head into their game against the Julius Randle-led New York Knicks (47-35) on May 8, 2023 as a 4.5-point favorite. The over/under for the game is 209.5.

Heat vs. Knicks Odds

• Heat odds to win: -183
• Knicks odds to win: +155
• Spread: Heat (-4.5)
• Total: 209.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, May 8, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
• TV: TNT

Who Will Win Heat vs. Knicks?

Heat and Knicks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat have a 6-19-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 4.5 points or more this season.

The Knicks are 5-5-2 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year.

The Heat and the Knicks combine to average 16 more points per game than the total of 209.5 set for this game.

Miami and New York have seen its opponents average a combined 13.4 more points per game than the point total of 209.5 set in this outing.

The Heat’s average total in outings this year has been 219.3, 9.8 points higher than the total in this particular game.

The average over/under for New York’s games this season is 19.6 more points than the point total of 209.5 for this outing.

Miami’s ATS record is 30-48-4 this season.

The Knicks’ ATS record is 45-35-2 this year.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat average 109.5 points per game (30th in the league) while giving up 109.8 per contest (second in the NBA). They have a -26 scoring differential overall.

The Heat come up short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. They are pulling down 40.6 rebounds per game (27th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 41.9 per outing.

Miami knocks down 1.1 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 12 (16th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.1.

The Heat rank 25th in the league by averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are ninth in the NBA, allowing 110.6 points per 100 possessions.

In the 2022-23 season, the Heat score 3.9 more points per home game on average than on the road (111.4 at home, 107.5 on the road), and are also giving up 0.9 more points per home game compared to road games (110.2 at home, 109.3 on the road).

Knicks Stats & Insights

The Knicks are outscoring opponents by 2.9 points per game, with a +240 scoring differential overall. They put up 116 points per game (11th in NBA) and give up 113.1 per contest (12th in league).

New York pulls down 46.6 rebounds per game (second in league) while conceding 42 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.6 boards per game.

The Knicks knock down 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th in the league), while their opponents have made 13 on average.

The Knicks average 114.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (sixth in league), and concede 111.7 points per 100 possessions (16th in NBA).

At home, New York averages 117.3 points per game. On the road, it scores 114.8.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Adebayo averages 20.4 points, 9.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game.

Jimmy Butler puts up 22.9 points per game while adding 5.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists for the Heat.

Max Strus makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Heat, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.5 per contest.

Butler averages 1.8 steals per game, while Adebayo swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Knicks Key Players to Watch

Randle has the top Knicks spot in two categories among active players: scoring (25.1 points per game) and rebounding (10 rebounds per game). He also has 4.1 assists per contest.

The Knicks have gotten 24 points, 6.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds out of Jalen Brunson this season.

Randle hits 2.8 threes per game.

The Knicks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Josh Hart (1.2 steals per game) and Mitchell Robinson (1.8 blocks per game).

Heat vs. Knicks Prediction

• Pick ATS: Knicks (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (209.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Heat 112 – Knicks 111

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